RE: Final Wave Follow-Up — 11 Entries Taken in Silence Before the Breakout
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Good job man. Do you think we will have just a whimper of an alt season or it could melt up a little like in previous cycles? I am thinking to just bag these low profits rather than hold out any longer with alts.
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Thanks sir 🙏 Honestly... what else are we going to do for the next 6 months anyway? Structure’s already speaking — and it’s the same rhythm I saw last cycle. History repeats. It’s never different, no matter what emotions tell us.
XRP last cycle gave a strong rally → sideways 1 year → final wave. Same happened with SAND, MANA — and now, it echoes again. I was emotional at the bottom. I felt bearish. But charts don’t lie — emotions do.
If you look at my reply to nenio below, I believe we’re currently in wave 3. That means two more still to go — wave 4 correction, then wave 5 into crescendo Oct–Dec. Codex memory’s playing out in real time.
Too much work to make a post... sharing some thoughts here, feel free to come up with input is much appreciated @zekepickleman @ph1102 @mypathtofire @nenio @tobetada
2026: What is coming is distribution that is masked as bullish continuation (decending triangle) in retail fomo. Let's see if I'm right, I'm very sure about it just as I was at BTC at 16.9k long -> Start of Bullrun. I will look to short the lower highs in the end as an improvement of the last cycle I first shorted when descending triangles broke support, for a 50% fall that will come again. Imo its final wave, charts dont lie. Big rally up -> consolidation almost 1 year -> final wave. (just study previous cycle MANA SAND many more did the same move) What do you think, do this land with you? And I love hearing your thoughts about ETH, I see a fractal -> ETH is doing the BTC 2020 cycle?
It is so tough to tell at this point! I tend to miss the gains above ATH as I am more of a swing trader than a leverage player. I like to buy when everyone else is selling and vice versa. Much slower and boring compared to the leverage game!
I take such a basic view and like to watch the STOCH and MACD for oversold and overbought for the swings. If I were to wager a guess, (from the basic premise that crypto goes / then \ then / again) being over bought on the weekly chart more or less since May, I would say your shorts are the good play. This is in the medium term though and you are probably looking more short term in leverage plays. So it doesn't account for that.
Much more risk averse and pedestrian in my approach but I am taking a little profit now and carefully watching Eth as sentiment seems to be rising. No buying in for me til Oct or so if we get a macd cross down and a good bounce on the stoch at the bottom.
Who knows? Exciting times!
Nice. The end will be tough. I prefer swings aswell, not daytrading i like to ride the waves. Thanks for your comment. 😃