Rest Easy Models S and X - Big Changes Coming at Tesla
One thing that over fifty trips around this sun of ours has taught me is that change makes people very uneasy and behave in strange ways, even if that change happens to be good for them in the end. Looking back on transitional times I’ve personally lived through there seems to be a general feeling of outrage, contrarianism, and overall squirreliness. Sound familiar? This kind of behavior is playing out all around us today.
Such is especially the case after some of Tesla’s announcements during yesterday’s earnings call. Elon Musk announced that production on the Tesla Models S (large sedan) and X (large SUV) would be wound down within the next few months and the factory in Fremont, California would be retooled for Optimus robot production.
Elon also mentioned the Cybertruck line might be transitioned to a “fully autonomous” line with potential use for localized cargo delivery. It looks like a majority of Tesla’s resources in the near future will move away from cars that people drive and be focused on the fully autonomous Cybercab, Optimus humanoid robot, AI, and the much anticipated Tesla in-house silicon chip fab.
Even diehard Tesla fans on the social media platform X were reacting harshly to this news today. So begins the Five Stages of Change, which as it turns out are the same as the five stages of grief—denial, anger, bargaining, depression, and then finally acceptance.

After attending the shareholder meeting in Austin this past November and listening to Elon’s keynote it was pretty clear Tesla would be phasing itself out of the car business as we know it but I guess many people just weren’t prepared for it to happen so quickly.
Even though I knew it was coming it came as a shock to me as well when I first heard it yesterday and for the next few hours I was flooded with nostalgia. I always dreamed of owning a Model S Plaid in Ultra Red with white interior but 0-60mph in less than two seconds would have probably spelled serious trouble for someone who comes from a long line of thrill seekers.
Throughout his career Elon has demonstrated an uncanny ability for not only predicting the future but also the rare talent to assure his visions of the future are born into reality. The problem is most people just cannot visualize a future so different from the world we’re currently living in, hence the outrage and the tantrums. Former Apple CEO Steve Jobs loved saying, “People don’t know what they want until you show it to them.” I always thought this was just Jobs being egotistical but now I understand he was just telling the truth.
"People don't know what they want until you show it to them." - Steve Jobs
As someone who has experienced the evolution of Tesla’s FSD over the past few years I can say that life with the autonomous driving feature is better than life without it. I can remember the precise moment Full Self Driving earned my trust and my overall attitude flipped, I was in the car with my brother and we witnessed my car driving itself, expertly through three consecutive roundabouts. I have gone from feeling as though Tesla’s Full Self Driving was a clumsy, slightly inebriated, teen driver with a learner’s permit to a sophisticated, highly capable, limousine driver (or lead-footed race car driver in the case of Mad Max mode).
I still enjoy driving, I really do. What I don’t enjoy is driving on roads filled with distracted drivers who aren’t paying attention to the road or anything around them. It’s getting to the point now where I witness a near-miss almost every time I get behind the wheel. When I engage full self driving now in my Model 3 I actually feel safer knowing there are eight cameras and a car that can react to the unexpected magnitudes faster than any human could. Now I actually feel like a rider in my own car instead of sweating before each traffic light, perched nervously on the edge of my seat.
After having some time to digest this news I see the wisdom in Tesla growing in this direction. Some day in the not-so-distant future driving your own car will be a niche activity like going four-wheeling in the woods or taking a car to a racetrack. Most people won’t miss it but for those who do miss driving there will still be the opportunity for them to do it.
This is just one example of a succession of huge changes that humanity will be presented with in this next decade. Humans really are wonderfully adept at adapting to change once we know it’s inevitable, we just don’t particularly enjoy the process of getting there, and often we go kicking and screaming. Rest easy Model S and X, it sure was a hell of a lot of fun getting to know you.
All for now. Thanks so much for reading.
That's quite interesting. I will be curious to see where it ends up. I feel like he has invested so much into the car scene to just give it up. I think FSD should be mandatory at a minimum on the expressway. That seems to be where I have the most frustration driving. I'd love to be able to just let go of all of that.
I think you're right. There will be a financial incentive to use autonomous driving at first, Lemonade is the first insurance company to offer customers 50% their premiums if they use FSD. Sooner or later it'll probably be mandatory. I hope to get my first experience using FSD on a long road trip this spring. It should be interesting and a whole lot less stressful.
That is cool. Smart on their part too offering a discount like that. It will be interesting to see if the data supports it in the future. Probably much too early to know for sure yet.
I'm going to be looking into Lemonade soon. State Farm is killing us with their premium increases. Our monthly premiums are more than our car payments used to be a decade ago. There's quite a bit of data already supporting the safety of FSD (currently about 2-3x safer than a human) but I think more independent studies need to be done to earn the public trust.
I think you are right on that last part. I can totally see the benefit, but we are now very aware that people will ignore the facts if it doesn't fit their way of thinking these days. We are lucky that we have an insurance company that caters to educators. It makes the pricing quite nice. We basically have full coverage with collision on all our vehicles as well as our travel trailer and it's about $220 per month. Which honestly is a good $100 more than it was when we originally signed up, but I've had other places try to match the price and they can't touch it without making our deductible ridiculous.
Amazing keep on posting it's encouraging
In two months I'll be 79. At this point in my life, I don't drive at night anymore. My night vision isn't what it used to be. I stay off busy expressways as much as possible. My reaction time isn't what it used to be. I am responsible enough to give my keys up when the time comes. A self-driving car sounds more attractive than it did a couple of years ago. It sounds like the ticket to continued independence.
My Mom turns 82 this June and had to give up driving a few years ago due to her neuropathy in her feet (she can't feel the pedals anymore). I'd love to get her something like the CyberCab to give her some freedom back. This tech will help a whole lot of people! It'll probably be 10x safer than a human driver when you're ready to give up your keys.
I checked out the CyberCab. Should have all the kinks worked out in a couple of years (always are kinks). Scheduled to market for 30K. Not bad. Checked cold weather use. Not too bad if you leave it plugged in during coldest weather. All in all, probably a better alternative to Uber or kids. If I'm still alive :)
!BBH
Elon Musk is a true visionary and all his ideas are ones that make life easier for people. I think there's something he saw and decided to phase out the production of cars which the ordinary Tesla fan or even employee may not be aware of. I think trusting Musk's intuition won't be bad seeing how brilliant he is. Like Steve Jobs said, people don't know what they want untill you show it to them.
Yeah, the nostalgia even hit me when I heard the news. Driving will soon be a forgotten skill like building a campfire or chopping wood. Certain people have the ability to see further into the future than others, Musk and Jobs are certainly part of that rare club.
People are definitely in the anger phase right now on X, but like you said with FSD, once you actually experience the tech working, the mindset flips. Retooling a whole factory for humanoid robots is a huge gamble, but Tesla has always been more of a robotics company disguised as a car company.
I think they're already easing into the acceptance phase now. : )
I'd say driving your own car won't even be allowed in the future. The laws will be against it. Possibly the cars won't allow it either.
I wonder if his pivot has to do with the announced possible SpaceX merger. Under another government that wouldn't be allowed, but I don't think Trump would stand against it, so it just depends on if the two companies can work out the details.
At any rate, it's a good move. Even if the Optimus robot doesn't work out as he thinks it will, the other car companies will be catching up shortly and will be offering lower prices, so he has to do something.
Yeah, eventually I can see laws passed against manual driving. Nvidia is marketing their own plug and play version of FSD that other auto manufacturers can buy so autonomy will be ubiquitous.
The consolidation of all Musk companies is the ultimate plan, I think. They're all interrelated. Critics will surely claim it violates antitrust laws so I expect a battle in that regard.
Chinese EVs would absolutely obliterate the US market if they were allowed to be sold here—their offerings are insane for the price. I see the cost of manufacturing and prices for everything going down from here on out due to automation so profit margins would be way tighter. I think making consumer vehicles is just a hard business that requires so many resources, it's smart to pivot out.
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Although Elon has many detractors at the moment, I feel that he is the greatest technological visionary humanity has had in decades. Here we say that when someone is ahead of everyone else, when people are gathering firewood, he has lit the fire without needing a match. Best regards