The Final Wave? When Structure Speaks Again #BTC #HIVE
A lot has happened since I began sharing TA posts and charting moves through this cycle like I did the last. Not just as a trader – but as an observer, architect and participant in the rhythm of structure. I shared thoughts, reversals, structures and patterns before they played out, in post, in discussions with @tobetada @mypathtofire @nenio @ph1102. And yes – many of those calls hit.
My journey through the waves of fractals - documented in real time
I am not writing this to speculate – I'm writing to record. This has been my journey and the dance with the charts. A timeline of edge, logged for reflection. I never shared because I knew everything. I shared to understand.
2020 - When the rhythm began
- April 2020: Bitcoin Hash ribbons gave a buy signal at 7.5k. I wrote about it when it happened and it was the start of the whole BTC bull cycle and for me. https://ecency.com/hive-174578/@digi-me/bitcoin-hash-ribbons-gave-a-buy-signal-today
2021 - Last cycle there was one last wave left
2022 – In the depths of the bear market
- There were six bullish divergences on Hive that offered 50–150% bounces. I covered every single one of them in my monthly Power Up Day posts.
2023 - Structure rises
- January 2023: Bitcoin shows the same move as in the last cycle start https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@digi-me/btc-update-januar-candle-has-to-close-bullish-engulfing-or
- November 2023: BTC tests 38k. Alt coins show resurgent strength and I asked: "What about ENJ, ADA and DOT?! https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@digi-me/btc-update-38k-hit-what
2024 - Mid-Cycle Beats and Confirmations
- January 2024: BTC 48k. What now? ETH is breathing. https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@digi-me/btc-update-48k-hit-whats
- March-April 2024: Alt update - many doubling, BTC at 64k, ETH at 4k. These posts document the pre-consensus waves: https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@digi-me/btc-update-64k-hit-eth and https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@digi-me/alt-update-enj-100-ada
- July 2024: BTC bull flag at 67k and the rhythm is building https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@digi-me/btc-update-3-months-later
- September 2024: Reversal that gave moonshots in October–November for Hive, Sui, Ltc and more https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@digi-me/reversal-on-the-horizon-are
2025 - Hive tells its own story
- January: Hive tops in wave A - I shared it live: https://ecency.com/hive-122221/@digi-me/hive-power-up-day-1-cbf3b6283dbbb
- March: Hive capitulates at $0.20. I shared it weeks before: https://ecency.com/hive-122221/@digi-me/hive-power-up-day-1-666801d491e91
- Furthermore: Maybe we are back on the same frequency: RSI is rising, price heading towards daily 200 ma, the structure is whispering. https://ecency.com/hive-122221/@digi-me/1000-hive-power-up-day
Now – maybe we’re facing the final phase of this wave. I’m not saying it will happen – I’m saying it can. July has marked the start of the final wave in every previous cycle. If history repeats, as it always does, BTC could reach the same fib as before: ~$170K – not as a hope, but as the structure’s echo.
For TA readers, here’s the technical rhythm I’m seeing now – in raw form:
| Signal | Why It Matters | Current Status |
|---|---|---|
| July monthly reversal | Turningpoint in all previous bull cycles | July candle green |
| BTC hit the bullflag in my post | Now a new bullflag has formed | Pending confirmation |
| Fib extension target | Hit in all previous cycles | Target: 170K |
| 200W MA vs previous ATH 69K | Its below at 49K -> top signal when it crosses | Pending |
| Pi Cycle Top indicator | MA line is approaching | Pending |
| Bitcoin yearly charts | 3 green years 1 red and repeat | Still green |
And if this is the final wave... I’ll be there. Not “to the moon” – just far enough to finish the wave. To close the loop. To complete the symphony where price and emotion meet in a final crescendo – a pattern I’ve heard before.
And if I hit it again… this is the post I’ll point to.
Maybe it is. Maybe it isn’t. But I’m already inside the wave. Are you? 🚀
Please do follow if you want to keep up with my next post. Any upvotes or reblogs are hugely appreciated!
Latest post, check out :
BTC update - 3 months later a bullflag has formed, are we now going to do as Gold did?
Christopher
Kristiansand, Norway
Source: Photos are chart-screenshots by me from Tradingview.com
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What a fantastic journey of learning we have been on with bitcoin and crypto the last few years! Love the ta for a little perspective especially since I never got down to learning fractals.
If we knew then what we know now!
Thanks bro, really appreciate that! And yeah, fractals have been my compass in this cycle. But honestly? Every post helped me see it clearer too. We keep learning. 😀
Hopefully Hive will 🚀
Hehe yeah, it’s been quiet… but every time the structure’s looked like this before – it eventually moved. Fingers crossed for another surprise wave! 🤞
170k is a realistic and good call. It's certainly do able. The days above 100k are loading up like a nice coil.
I see a sub 10 cent Hive next year though, maybe earlier.
Appreciate that! Yeah, 170K would just mirror the same fibs from last cycles. As for Hive – if we dip first, it could be that final setup before the reversal. Would be poetic, right? I agree sub 10 cents is realistic in the next bear.
A 170k top would also mean around 58k bottom for Bitcoin. Hard to think we would go there again. Would be another amazing buy if you can snag it.
Appreciate the thoughts as always bro 🙌 I remember in the last cycle I said 20K was likely – maybe even 14K. We bottomed at 15.5K. I even longed from 16.9K 😀 – and that’s when this final wave truly started building.
That’s why 60K makes sense to me in the next bear. We spent 6 months consolidating in that zone before the blowoff in 2021. Just like 6K in 2018 became the rediscovery zone later, I think 60K will become the gravity point post-top. Fib-wise, it even lines up if this wave tops at ~170K.
So yeah – maybe Hive dips hard, maybe BTC flies... but this structure? It’s still speaking loud.
If I sell some BTC over 150K, I will start gradually buying back when/if it goes under 90-100K... I will not wait 60K 😃
Yeah, I hear you PH – I agree. If you’ve sell above 150K then DCA-ing back below 99K isn’t a miss – it’s multiplication. 👍 And i’d rather get more BTC than miss out. 😅
A smart move. Buying under $100k makes sense, that last dip to $76k was a gift.
Haha yeah, saw you mention 76K — a gift before new ATH 😀
That 170K doesn't look unreal at all... It is very much possible... Especially as we saw a lot of selling between 100-110K, which means that not a lot more is left when we break on the upside... Let's see what happens... I'm ready! 😃
Couldn’t agree more, PH 🙌 If that breakout hits, 170K is simply history echoing. Same fib, same rhythm, it’s humming .. I'm ready to! 😀
Nice to read your TA analysis and exchange ideas about the possible future evolutions of the market.
In the mean time: DCA!
👍
Wow! That's great. It wasn't easy enough taking it to $111k , and $170k will not also be too easy. Let's call $120k, and if successfully we reach there, we can set another target 🎯. What it means to get Bitcoin to $170k 🤔🤔 Humm! Looking at the recent ATH at $111,500, we got too many sell orders, forming stronger resistance at that price level. But let's see how the market plays out.
Appreciate the comment! I get your thinking — but what I shared isn’t based on hope or opinion. It’s based on structure that has echoed for years. I’m not forecasting because it “feels right” — I’m showing what typically happens if history repeats: Fib extension → final wave → confirmation. Same patterns, same rhythm, different year. I don’t wait for news or hype. I map it months ahead based on formations I’ve seen unfold before — like all the post in my timeline above. If $120K comes first, great. But if we hit $170K, it won’t be hype… It’ll be a replay. Appreciate your perspective bro — and curious to see how the wave unfolds! 🚀📈
That's great brother!