How Low Will HIVE Fall?
We’re sitting at $0.14 now. A few hours ago, we dipped all the way to $0.07 — possibly a record low. There were enough buy orders to make it almost immediately bounce back, but we’re still hovering low. That’s the kind of volatility that makes your stomach sink, even if you’ve been around Hive long enough to have seen worse.
The chart looks ugly, but it’s not the first time Hive has faced something like this. We’ve seen similar plunges before. Remember the post-Hard Fork chaos when HIVE and STEEM were untangling? Or the big drop in 2022 when Bitcoin cratered under $20k? Each time, Hive somehow survived. But each time also leaves the community a little more bruised, a little more cynical, and a little more determined.
We have two choices here: we can be all doom-and-gloom or we can be optimistic. Let’s choose the latter.
If you zoom out far enough, Hive’s story isn’t a straight line down or up: it’s a heartbeat. The pulse of a living project. When confidence rises, the price follows. When faith slips, we flatline for a while. But every single recovery so far has come not from outside investors, but from within, from people who keep building, posting, developing, and sticking around even when it feels hopeless.
That’s what keeps Hive alive. There’s no central company holding it up, no billionaire buying the dip. Just us. That’s both our strength and our weakness.
It’s tempting to think in pure numbers: if it hit seven cents, maybe it could hit five, or three, or one. But I think what’s happening now isn’t just a market correction: it’s a confidence test. It’s also Trump market manipulation, with his China attack, but that’s neither here nor there. Hive Engine activity has slowed. Token prices have followed. Engagement is still decent, but less money moving around means fewer reasons for casual investors to stay. The builders are still here, but the tourists have gone home. And yea, there is the DHF giving away money a little too freely and all the projects almost immediately selling what they are given, putting incredible sellside pressure on HIVE.
Yet.. that’s usually when the real growth starts again. When the noise quiets down, the people who actually believe in the system get back to work. When HIVE was last at these levels, it eventually climbed to over $3. That was during the crypto mania of 2021, true, but it proved that HIVE can move when the wind changes.
The question is: do we still have enough conviction to ride out another winter?
Personally, I think we do. I’m not saying the price will rebound next week or next month. But if you look at what’s happening under the hood — the consistent payouts, the active dev teams, the long-term holders who aren’t selling — it feels less like a collapse and more like a long exhale. Maybe this is the part where the weak hands let go and the real builders dig in.
I told you this was the optimistic take :)
Still, it’s hard not to feel uneasy. Seeing such a drop in a single day can mess with your head. But that’s also when perspective matters most. HIVE isn’t just a token: it’s an ecosystem, a home for writers, gamers, photographers, and investors who want something more independent than the social networks that sold their souls years ago.
If you’ve been through one of these crashes before, you know what comes next: quiet, rebuilding, and eventually (hopefully) renewed hope. Whether that happens at ten cents or fifty doesn’t change the fact that Hive’s value comes from the people using it, not the price ticker.
Maybe the right question isn’t “How low will Hive fall?” but “How strong will we be when it rises again?”
Who’s with me? I’m still buying!
❦
 |
David is an American teacher and translator lost in Japan, trying to capture the beauty of this country one photo at a time and searching for the perfect haiku. He blogs here and at laspina.org. Write him on Bluesky. |
good time to buy as long as fundamental, technical and sentiment analysis back it up
Humm! I was completely offline when the sudden drop took place. Am surprised that $Hive went down to $0.032. if you had bought it then with $100, you could have gotten 3,125 hive tokens. You could have either powered up or held it. The point is by now, where $hive is $0.14, your $100 could have been worth $437 in less than 7 hours.
3 cents? In USD? Where did you see that? The charts I'm seeing only show 7 cents at the lowest point. Either way, that still would have seen a nice quick profit.
Yeah! but that was just a flash. even Atom went down to $0.001. Imaging grabbing some units at this low for $100 and priced suddenly rebound back to $3.5, main! your $100 would print $350k just suddenly. All these happened like a dream.
It never went that low. And even if, you would never be quick enough to grab it at this level.
U don’t need to be. You can put in limit bids on our free market place. !PIZZA
Have you done this?
U don’t need to be. You can put in limit bids/orers on our free market place. Nothing about being quick. I had bids in that range. None hit because that price wasn’t real. The buy wall didn’t go below .12 on Hive market. I got some below .14 but the dips to way lower were limited to flash crashes on certain exchanges. But regardless we broke the 2024 low of .1488 which says a lot. We are going much lower in 2026/2027.
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It's good time to buy more. Now we need to become little more political and get things heated up for the price to go up ..
If we want growth, we all have to do it. The people on top have proven then don't care about attracting new users. Their only concern is enriching themselves. So if we want growth, we all will have to be the ones doing it. Talk to your friends about getting on Hive. Post on FB about it. Draw in people you know.
😊
The people on top make it impossible to do this. Just being honest. I wouldn’t tell a friend to invest here. I would be telling them to purposely loose 50% the next year or two. I love the community & im going to stay even though rewards are not worth it. I do it for fun. But its whales milking chain and success is not growing for them. That’s what I’ve learned. It’s not that they don’t care, they want to keep power and keep it small to remain in power and milking it. Just my opinion among many others. !BBH !PIZZA
Dammit, wish I'd had a buy order ready to go!
Yep! You can bet I put in a few now.
Wouldn’t have got filled below .12 on hive market place anyway.
Yeah was just catching up about that. The 11th was my birthday so I wasn't paying attention to anything but having a chill day with family.
I can relate with the optimistic take. Building still continues, nothing much has changed fundamentally, better times are ahead. I missed the price wick to 0.07, wished I had limit orders in place :)
Better times are coming!
Not price wise. We’ll go higher for a bit no doubt but long term not a chance. Whales are purposefully keeping it small and using give to milk value. That’s why we are in a deep bear action market while most the space is bull. Not all, plenty of others are losers as crypto space has split and no longer everything go up. But hive dumping to 4 plus year lows during bull time for bitcoin & others is clear sign we are never seeing 2021 numbers again.
I was just sleeping and then open my eye , my portfolio went from 400$ to 0$ feeling really sad but never loss courage maybe I will recover it again 😭.
Believe me, we are all in the same boat. I own nearly 60k HIVE. I can watch the value swing thousands of dollars in either direction. You quickly learn never to look at the dollar value of your holdings!
Hive is still the grown up place to be, for serious players, those that stay will benefit in the long game. Really don't want chancers and get rich quick junkies here tbh in my opinion.
We don't want a lot of them, but we do want a few. Like it or not, it's speculators who drive markets. Without them, markets would be much more flat with very little volatility. That means if we want to see HIVE spike back up to $1, we need the get-rich-quick speculators.
A necessary evil then?
Yep
👍
How will we succeed long term?
Hive isn’t winning in crypto space. I’ve won by making good friends & having fun! But hive isn’t winning price wise long term. It’s gone 70% below its 2022 bear low of .25 cents. It’s not going up again to where we were in 2021. I love ur community & participate even knowing that but it’s the truth.
Buying at this point is a no brainer!
Totally!
!PIMP
Is always just best to stay optimistic with crypto. No one is sure of what could happen at anything.
I’ve been shouting from rooftop we would be not only not following Bitcoin and top tier crypto’s in bull run but we’d be back in teens when Bitcoin breaks 100K. I got a lot of 💩 then said we’d break the 2024 low of .1488 by year end. You are spot on brother!
.07 cents is very likely when the bull run cycle (not for hive but other crypto’s) ends and it’s 2026/2027 bear, hive is going well below a dime.
There is too much waste and nobody seems to care, that’s why I sold all my HSBI above .41 in that manipulated January pump. I’m not powering Down as it’s all house money and I did reduce stake from 40K HP to 9K HP when we were above .50 and I did last time above $2.00 in 2021 so I’m not selling my last pile of 11K. But we are def going lower in 2026/2027, not just for a flash crash but to stay a while.
!PIZZA !BBH
I don't disagree with you, Gene. As things are, HIVE faces a lot of pain. I'm hoping for the best, preparing for the worst, and just watching.
That said, despite the negatives here, Hive is still light years better than most of the other altcoin trash. Now will we ever manage to get that message out? Many new voices are working hard at that. But many established people are working to prevent that. And we still have the problem of the DHF bleeding money. We are making slow progress, but it might be too slow to counteract the years of abuse. Time will tell!
I think it’s much better community, by far! And why I’m here 💯.
But price wise it’s being beat by a lot of alt coin trash. Not all, Sushi Swap or Dash or REN is a good example of terrible & also way below 2022 low. But most alt trash is beating hive in price and cap department. !PIZZA !BBH
Is there anything moving on positive direction? Regarding DHF? I haven’t seen it?
Buy the dip! Both community builders and scalping traders know this. Stock markets and crypto also had the big liquidating dip so losing faith in Hive seems like such a noob mindset!
Buy the dip!
$PIZZA slices delivered:
geneeverett tipped dbooster
@geneeverett(20/20) tipped @stayoutoftherz
Come get MOONed!
We shall see how long it takes to calm down and quiet out. Those of us who are here for the long term and who have built here on Hive like I have aren't going anywhere. I think we'll see a drop in users and people posting on a regular basis, the "fair weather" crowd, but those who are in crypto for the long haul have all seen this before and we ride it out. I think being optimistic is a great thing at this point although the events of the last few days have been unsettling to say the least. But we'll all keep at it and hopefully some new builders with great ideas will appear as well!
Great post and I love the optimism, a very fresh breath of air!
!DUO
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Yep — to everything you said.
I'm also not entirely happy with the events of the last few days, but we might as well choose to be positive and keep our humor about us (while also preparing for worst case in the background).
Like someone else said, it sucks when BTC drops and recovers, but then it pulls the alts with it and they don't recover.
Honestly, I think the alts might be toast, with the possible exception of ETH. People are tired of the constant rugs and scams and are anyway just overwhelmed with the thousands of alts that are screaming exactly the same thing. Also, with the stock market in a huge bubble, up well over 10%, it is pulling a lot of the money that would go towards alts.
I do still hope Hive can carve out more of a space here, but I dunno. If we can survive until the stock bubble bursts, some money might flow here.
Things seem to be going up today, but who knows how that will really work out. After the bloodbath I was shocked to see alerts about tokens hitting new ATH's this morning.
Damn it I missed .07$?! Argh that sucks haha, I would’ve gladly held onto my HBD for longer to get some super cheap hive!
I did see the price fall to where it’s at and I for sure regretted selling my 23 HBD the other day at .19 instead of waiting to where it was, but I guess I’ve got a different mindset than some!
I agree with you here that these are tests, and the sell pressure is high but hive does have consistency and a great scaling nature to it. We might not have the hype yet but I think a lot of it is because of our decentralized nature. Things are centralized to the gills these days, with greater concentration happening every year it seems. The decentralization of hive feels like an old America in a lot of ways - people roughing it to put in the long term work and sweat equity.
I know some are concerned about the crazy drop in price but for me, it’s all buying opportunities for a larger hive stake, so I’m good with it!
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Haha yeah, every single time I trade some HBD for HIVE and then watch the price of HIVE drop more, I regret it. Why couldn't I have waited another week?? but that's how it always goes, I suppose. The same will happen on the way up.
Haha yeah, at least on the way up for me, I stash a little bit of Hive every time. Hoping to sell that Hive when it's high, and buy when it's low! Made like 50 extra Hive this year which isn't bad lol. Eventually it will be a bigger play number, but gotta start somewhere!
Damn. I thought picking it up at .136 was a good deal
My only regret is not having money now to buy Hive 🙃
As long as we look at Hive as a social platform ecosystem, who cares about its price? Do we change our presence on Instagram or Youtube when their stock value goes down? I don't think so...
I mean, I'm sorry for all those who actually get a living from Hive. But for me, living in a rich country in Europe, it's just cents