Physics Disproves Anthropogenic Global Warming Scam

Richard Lindzen, Professor of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Emeritus
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and William Happer, Professor of Physics, Emeritus, Princeton University, have published 'PHYSICS DEMONSTRATES THAT INCREASING GREENHOUSE GASES CANNOT CAUSE DANGEROUS WARMING,EXTREME WEATHER OR ANY HARM' More Carbon Dioxide Will Create More Food. Driving Greenhouse Gas Emissions to Net Zero and Eliminating Fossil Fuels Will Be Disastrous for People Worldwide.

"We are career physicists with a special expertise in radiation physics, which describes how CO2 and GHGs affect heat flow in Earth's atmosphere. In our scientific opinion, contrary to most media reporting and many people’s understanding, the “scientific premises undergirding” the Net Zero Theory, all the Biden Net Zero Theory rules and congressional subsidies are scientifically false and “wrong,”

"First, Scientific Evidence Ignored. All the agency rules, publications and studies we have seen supporting the Endangerment Finding and other Biden Net Zero Theory rules ignored, as if it does not exist, the robust and reliable scientific evidence that:
(a) carbon dioxide, GHGs and fossil fuels will not cause catastrophic global
warming and more extreme weather, detailed in Part III.
(b) there will be disastrous consequences for the poor, people worldwide, future
generations, Americans, America, and other countries if CO2, other GHGs are
reduced to Net Zero and fossil fuels eliminated that will endanger public health
and welfare...

"Second, Unscientific Evidence at the Foundation. Unscientific evidence is all we have seen underlying the Endangerment Finding and all the other Biden Net Zero rules..."

These statements are part of the introduction to the paper, from page 3. The technical discussion later in the paper details the specific scientific evidence that is ignored, and the essentially fraudulent claims that are made to support the AGW scam. The paper runs to 46 pages, and has been written carefully for laymen, while adhering to scientific rigor that conforms to the physical understanding of Earth's climate. There is also discussion of policies, regulations, laws, and orders that are of critical importance and time sensitive.

"In summary, the blunt scientific reality requires urgent action because we are confronted with policies that destroy western economies, impoverish the working middle class, condemn billions of the world's poorest to continued poverty and increased starvation, leave our children despairing over the alleged absence of a future, and will enrich the enemies of the West who are enjoying the spectacle of our suicide march."

RadiationOfHeatCO2Saturation.png
IMG source - Lindzen and Happer (2025)

The above chart isn't a straight line, where radiation of heat declines linearly with increasing CO2. This is because of saturation, and because different GHGs radiate at specific frequencies (temperature) and not at others. You can see big dips where CO2 does conserve heat, and that is reducing the loss of heat by >30W/m^2, which is why Earth isn't an icy grave. You can also see that doubling CO2 to 800ppm makes no discernible difference from 400ppm.

"...CO2...becomes a less effective greenhouse gas at higher concentrations
because of what in physics is called "saturation." Each additional increase of CO2 in the atmosphere causes a smaller and smaller change in "radiative forcing," or in temperature.

"Saturation also explains why temperatures were not catastrophically high over the hundreds of millions of years when CO2 levels were 10 to nearly 20 times higher than they are today...

"Worldwide Net Zero by 2050 — only avoids a temperature increase of 13/100 (0.13 °F)...

"In conclusion, since CO2 is now a weak GHG [because it has reached the saturation point], and the warming effects of the other GHGs, including methane and nitrous oxide, are so small that they [are] irrelevant to climate, there is no risk GHGs and fossil fuels will cause catastrophic global warming and extreme weather."

I would not call that catastrophic global warming. No one rational would. However, the economic disruption civil society would have to suffer to attain Net Zero would be catastrophic, and not just for people, but for all life on Earth. That is because CO2 is the chemical basis for life on Earth, the fuel for photosynthesis that causes plants to grow and make the food for all animals, and all the O2 animals need to breathe.

"...doubling carbon dioxide from today's approximately 420 ppm to 840 ppm would increase the amount of food available to people worldwide by roughly 40%..."

Not just people, but all living things. Obviously I'm not providing here the details and rigor the 46 page paper provides. If you want to understand Earth's climate better, if you doubt my reporting, if you doubt the conclusions of the paper itself and want to find flaws to refute it with, follow the link and have at it.

I have understood AGW alarmism is a scam for most of a decade now, and one of the things this paper touches on is the $T's that are being raked in by the scammers. It's the second largest theft by fraud in history (only debt based money and fractional reserve banking are larger). Along with the other scams and frauds that are being committed against humanity today, the wars, the scamdemic, ethnic cleansing and genocide, child sex trafficking, rule by blackmail (extortocracy), prohibition, police state tyranny and surveillance, censorship, and all the other deliberate frauds and oppressions we suffer, we and our posterity are being robbed of unimaginable prosperity and felicity RIGHT NOW. The banksters that bribe and blackmail our governments are a gang of criminals, stealing the birthright rightfully ours, and our beloved sons and daughters - over our dead bodies.

We need to stop the lies, and this one, the AGW scam, is scientifically provably false. The $T's being sucked out of our wallets by the scammers can feed, house, and clothe the entire world right now. Have a look at the paper and understand the proof it provides that the AGW climate scam is theft by fraud, so that we can end the crime spree and deliver to our posterity what is theirs.

WeUniteNobodyFalls.jpg
IMG source - Rare Pepe of the Day - Tumblr



0
0
0.000
45 comments
avatar

all the Biden Net Zero Theory rules and congressional subsidies are scientifically false and “wrong,”

This is refreshing. Known for a long time, but now it's out in the open. !BBH

0
0
0.000
avatar

Fraud and lies have become so common that they are mistaken for the genuine thing.

0
0
0.000
avatar

Richard Lindzen, Professor of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Emeritus
Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and William Happer, Professor of Physics, Emeritus, Princeton University, have published 'PHYSICS DEMONSTRATES THAT INCREASING GREENHOUSE GASES CANNOT CAUSE DANGEROUS WARMING,EXTREME WEATHER OR ANY HARM' More Carbon Dioxide Will Create More Food. Driving Greenhouse Gas Emissions to Net Zero and Eliminating Fossil Fuels Will Be Disastrous for People Worldwide.

Dear @valued-customer !
Are you against Eliminating Fossil Fuels?
By the way, Are you also against producing electric cars for Eliminating Fossil Fuels?

I can't spread your shocking claims in my country. Your claims are punishable by five years in prison for spreading false information here!😨

CRIMINAL LAW

a crime if I told the truth?

false information

I am a frog in boiling water right now!😔

0
0
0.000
avatar

"Are you against Eliminating Fossil Fuels?"

Vehemently. There is a very good reason that growers use CO2 to increase production in greenhouses, and that is why I am building a greenhouse today.

"I can't spread your shocking claims in my country."

You don't have to. Demonstrating the principle by producing goods enables them with merit to discover demonstrable facts, and is what is necessary to create wealth and personal prosperity. Growers in E. Asia use CO2 to increase production just like growers everywhere else. Independence is freedom. Independently create actual wealth and them as can do so will also create real wealth. That is the best we can do IRL.

Thanks!

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

so if it's not global warming, I am left wondering what exactly is responsible for my city's average temperature rising by 10 degrees in the summer over the last 20 years, and why it is such a commonplace occurrence not only in my country but in many other countries as well...

this is clearly worrying since peak temperatures don't tipically rise by 10 degrees every 20 years

what could be the cause of this!?

and since it's not global, it is clearly safe to assume these are actually just thousands of local events instead which somehow never add up to something bigger and never influence each other. clearly, the amazon forest disappearing has no effect anywhere else...

is there anything I can do in my local area that will lower my city's temperature by a whole 10 degrees!?

also, what is your opinion on studies financed by corporations who have a desired result in mind? do you believe no scientist in the world would attempt to interpret data in a way that their paid to do, despite of how unethical that is?

last not but not least, do you think confirmation bias and naive optimism combined can make people think they are informed enough when the subject matter is actually far more complex than they antecipated?

0
0
0.000
avatar

"do you believe no scientist in the world would attempt to interpret data in a way that their paid to do, despite of how unethical that is?"

97% of scientists agree with whoever pays them. Just like cops, lawyers, judges, and politicians. I clearly don't believe that 'no scientists' do actual science. This post is exactly that, Professors Emeritus pointing out demonstrable facts. Actual scientific method in action.

"...my city's average temperature rising by 10 degrees in the summer over the last 20 years..."

What makes you think that is the case? Do you have records you have collected for the last 20 years that show that happening? No, you don't. You have been told that happened by someone else. Consider who told you that, and why they are telling you that. Note that the AGW scam is on track to produce hundreds of trillions of dollars of profit to the scammers by 2050. That's a lot of incentive to lie.

"McKinsey and Company estimated the Net Zero transition would cost about
$9.2 trillion per year and $275 trillion between 2021 and 2050."
--Lindzen and Happer (2025)

There are known consequences of paving locales. It's called the 'urban heat island effect'. You can ascertain the reality of this effect yourself, and you can even quantify it scientifically if you use appropriate tools and carefully document the results, which is the scientific method. But, you don't need to do that to confirm it's an actual, real effect. You just have to go from an urban environment where everything is paved or concrete structures to outside that urban environment to a forested area of a large enough extent. You can feel that the temperature has declined. If you don't trust your physical senses, you simply need a thermometer that you use to show the temperature in a city and in a forest.

"...it is clearly safe to assume these are actually just thousands of local events instead which somehow never add up to something bigger and never influence each other. clearly, the amazon forest disappearing has no effect anywhere else..."

You have to be careful with your tongue stuck so hard in cheek, because you will bite it if you're careless. I will suggest to you that you make direct statements of what you feel are facts, rather than resorting to ad homs, mockery, and innuendo, because then you become able to actually demonstrate what is demonstrably true, and can detect any errant, non-factual claims you might have been misled by.

Rapine misdevelopment by multinational corporations, such as profit from laying waste to the Amazon, isn't the climate. Dumping chemical pollution into our environment isn't CO2 creating 'global boiling' (to quote UN Secretary-General António Guterres). These are actual dangers that the AGW scam is concealing, real harmful environmental damage that we can put an end to if we notice them and make the effort to stop them from happening - and the multinational corporations hide these things by trumpeting the fake AGW scam that good people are bamboozled by so that they never take action to stop the real damage that is ongoing.

The destruction of the Amazon, of natural environments everywhere, isn't being caused by .04% of the atmosphere (that human beings release 3% of), CO2. It's being caused by big ag corporations illegally logging, burning, and converting to pasture so billionaires can run beef cattle, by Bayer and Archer Daniels Midland dousing our food in toxic biocides, and drenching pristine ecosystems in glyphosate. Those are real environmental destruction going on, and that is what the AGW scam is hiding from people that care about life and our environment, so that we don't do anything to stop it, but instead pay taxes to appease sky gods.

Please be more directly factual with your criticism so that I can learn from you. If I am wrong about something I want you to prove it - not make vaguely mocking comments that can't be demonstrated are factually correct or not. The reason you don't make specific claims is because you don't have actual observations of facts you can back up, and that makes your criticism useless to me.

Make useful claims to prove me wrong, so I can change my mind and become right by agreeing with facts you can prove, please. Also, self-voting is contrary to the entire purpose of social media. I'd have upvoted you if you hadn't upvoted yourself.

Thanks!

0
0
0.000
avatar

Professors Emeritus pointing out demonstrable facts. Actual scientific method in action.

I need an answer I can use to neutralize studies that point to the opposite.

You have been told that happened by someone else. Consider who told you that, and why they are telling you that.

Jesus, man. I'm 37. I don't need anyone "telling me that".

I'm going to address everything tomorrow. I'm sorry for my rudeness. It is tough to hold myself back since this is like flat earth affirmations from my perspective. I see that, from yours, I'm being the flat earth maniac, though. Hopefully, we'll get somewhere.

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

"I don't need anyone "telling me that"."

Then what gives you the idea that has happened? You didn't take daily temperatures and record them over that time. Someone told you that was happening, and you're right. You don't need anyone blowing smoke up your skirt, which is what you're suffering.

0
0
0.000
avatar

I want to get to know you and understand why you're aligned with the idea that "climate change is fake"

which do you prefer in your own financial and political interests - that climate change is real or that it isn't, and why?

also, do you understand yourself how GHG maintains habitable temperature on Earth? could you explain it to me as if I were 14 years old to make sure that we're on the same page?

could you state why you think any of the recent and popular studies saying that climate change is real isn't scientifically reliable?

also, let's pretend for a moment that I think this study you've shown is 100% scientifically accurate. should I then think that global warming as a whole is a scam? "Anthropogenic" does mean of environmental change in general after all.

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

"...you're aligned with the idea that "climate change is fake"

This inaccurately characterizes me and the researchers in the OP. Indeed, it's a mischaracterization of scientific research into climate. No one I know has ever claimed that 'climate change is fake'. The factual statement is that anthropogenic (human caused) climate change is fake. More to the point, well asserted in the paper linked in the OP, is that there isn't a damn thing we can do about climate change, because forces far above our pay grade (such as the output of the sun, and the wobbling of Earth's orbit) are responsible for climate constantly changing, and not a damn thing we can do will stop that from happening.

"which do you prefer in your own financial and political interests..."

I don't. I am not a zealous acolyte of any religion or claim. I observe the actual data, and seek to surmount whatever is real and actual that might impact me or mine negatively. Because I note that humanity is extraordinary, uniquely apprised of capacity to reason and understand, and availed of the panoply of technology that comes of understanding, I highly value all humanity and the society we create. I prefer that we understand what is real and make decisions and apply ourselves to prevent catastrophic consequences that will surely lay us waste if we instead believe lies and do stupid things - like pay taxes to the tune of $275T between now and 2050 to appease the sky gods, or smth. The gods will not be appeased. That's what the paper's about.

"...do you understand yourself how GHG maintains habitable temperature on Earth? could you explain it to me as if I were 14 years old to make sure that we're on the same page?"

Lindzen and Happer are physicists that have spent their careers researching exactly that, and the paper linked in the OP is written for laymen. It is exactly the explanation you are seeking. The graph that is the titular image for my post shows exactly how CO2 and GHG's maintain habitable temperature on Earth, and the authors explain that the ~30w/m^2 they prevent from radiating into space is why the Earth isn't an icy, barren waste.

"could you state why you think any of the recent and popular studies saying that climate change is real isn't scientifically reliable?"

The first reason is that some years ago I had an uninformed opinion provided to me by corporate media. When I mentioned my suspicion that human industrial CO2 output could be having the claimed effect on climate to a friend I respected deeply, they pointed out that I was largely ignorant of the actual research, the hard data, and was falling for a money scam. While I was not swayed by that alone, I respected them enough to actually do some research, because they were right to point out I had not and my opinion was based on nothing but bare assertions.

WattsUpWithThat.com is a site where climate scientists discuss research, and the massive biases that research funders with a stake in the ~$275T AGW scam create. It was revelatory. I saw that CO2 has been orders of magnitude higher in the past, while ecosystems thrived. In the recent past there were also times when temperatures have been a few degrees higher, such as during the rise of Rome, and during the medieval warm period, when crops were able to be grown during longer seasons, and all the ills of inclement wintry temperatures were reduced, with obvious beneficial effects on human civil society. But what I found very convincing was the record of sea level rise and fall during the last couple million years, which is well documented and a record written in stone, not easily misinterpreted.

What that revealed to me is that we are today at the approximate height of sea levels that have serially risen and declined quite reliably over hundreds of millennia, and none of these changes were caused by CO2 emissions from human industry. It is very true that climate changes, but the sea level record shows that we have nothing to do with it, and rather than facing a dramatic rise in sea level - which would be catastrophic, as it has been over and again in the past - we face the very opposite situation, in which the oceans will be increasingly locked up in glaciers (much like CO2 has been locked up in coal and other minerals over hundreds of millions of years. CO2 levels are today at the lowest point they have ever been on Earth) and the sea levels will decline rapidly.

We are in an ice age. We are in an interglacial phase of an ice age, but the continental glaciers will soon return, because that is what climate naturally is doing over these last few million years, and not only is there nothing we can do about that, but we don't even well understand why this cycle began a few million years ago.

This utterly convinced me that the AGW scam was exactly that, a scam, and, like all scams, was going to do everyone that fell for it enduring harm. I think the best aspect of my environment, and that of my beloved sons, is civil society, an incredible boon to all humanity, and something I want to prosper maximally to increase the felicity of my sons and the future they will live in. Falling for a global scam will deprecate civil society, and degrade the conditions my sons and their myriad peers will enjoy as long as they live. This is why I speak out about it.

"...let's pretend for a moment that I think this study you've shown is 100% scientifically accurate. should I then think that global warming as a whole is a scam?"

Global warming is not an accurate characterization of Earth's climate, because, as you can easily confirm with trivial search of internet resources, climate both warms and cools. Climate change is not a scam. Claiming we have anything to do with climate change is a scam, and this can easily be confirmed by simply noting that sea levels rose >100m betwee 20kya and ~7kya. Dramatic global warming is a natural climactic variation, and not caused by industrial CO2 releases. Humanity didn't start releasing significant (~3% of the CO2 produced globally by all processes) CO2 until ~1950. Most of the CO2 produced every year comes out of volcanoes - and ~80% of volcanoes are underwater, where we know very little about them, what they're doing, how many of them there are, or even where most of them are.

"Anthropogenic" does mean of environmental change in general after all."

Anthropogenic does not mean environmental change. Anthropo refers to humanity, from the Greek.

"anthropo-
before a vowel, anthrop-, word-forming element meaning "pertaining to man or human beings," from Greek anthrōpos "man; human being" (including women), as opposed to the gods, from andra (genitive andros), Attic form of Greek anēr "man" (as opposed to a woman, a god, or a boy), from PIE root *ner- (2) "man," also "vigorous, vital, strong."

--https://www.etymonline.com/word/anthropo-

Genic refers to origin, also from the Greek.

"-genic
word-forming element meaning "producing, pertaining to generation;" see -gen + -ic."

--https://www.etymonline.com/word/-genic

So, anthropogenic means 'human caused'. That is why it is the defining objection of actual climate scientists to the claim that industrial CO2 output is causing temperatures to rise. Temperatures have risen and fallen on Earth for billions of years, and we didn't cause any of that. It's preposterous, completely false and not based on any scientific evidence at all, to claim the ordinary climactic variations today ongoing are anthropogenic. That is the central point of Lindzen and Happer's paper: human agency is not causing climate change - and human agency cannot significantly affect natural climactic processes, which is why they provide the calculation that fully realizing Net Zero by 2050 will only affect atmospheric average temperature by .13 degrees Fahrenheit, which is an infinitesimal and negligible impact on climate that will save nobody and nothing, but will make scammers inconceivably rich from the ~$275T they will extract from us to destroy our economy and turn civil society into a hellish dystopia.

I am unable to avoid the conclusion that you did not read the linked paper by Lindzen and Happer. Many of the questions you asked are answered in that paper. I humbly suggest that your lack of knowledge is the result of your lack of looking into these matters beyond corporate media claims, just as was mine less than a decade ago. It is a trivial matter to look at the data for global temperatures and CO2 levels for the last 600M years. That information is in the linked paper. All the claims made by the authors of the paper are easily verifiable. You haven't attempted to disprove any of them, and I don't think you even know what they are because you haven't read them.

The only reason you don't understand that they're telling you the truth is because you have only heard what the AGW scammers are telling you in the process of scamming you. While I realize that is unpalatable, because as Mark Twain pithily observed, it is easier to fool a man than to convince him he's been fooled, you are being scammed, and I don't want you to suffer the consequences of being scammed because I care about the world my sons will inherit from me, and they need allies to stop the steal, the theft of the blessings of civilization that is the birthright of humanity, and that includes you.

Please read the linked paper. Disprove anything asserted therein you disagree is factually correct with evidence that shows it is factually incorrect. If you're right, you'll change my mind. However, that is what I set out to do nearly a decade ago, and what convinced me that people aren't changing Earth's climate, because the natural forces controlling climate make human industry laughably puny.

Thanks!

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

so you're saying you are aligned with the idea that "climate change by humans is fake" because "humans don't have the means to affect climate". okay.

and you're saying you believe opposing studies are false because information from WattsUpWithThat.com has convinced you. okay

if you could pick between reality being one where humans can affect world climate and one where we could not, and you did so it would align with your financial and/or political interest, which would you pick and why?

I am interested in your personal understanding about how GHG makes Earth habitable. could you provide it?

also, could you define climate for me

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

you're saying you believe opposing studies are false because information from WattsUpWithThat.com has convinced you.

You forgot the $275T that is on the hook for the AGW scam. That funds a lot of pseudoscience. WattsUpWithThat is a site where scientists discuss their research, and it is that discussion that formed the basis of my understanding. That's where I learned about the blatant fraud by Michael Mann, who created the infamous 'hockey stick' graph by cherry picking from various records. That's where I learned about 'emailgate' where the discussions between corrupt researchers faking up such data via email were leaked.

"if you could pick between reality being one where humans can affect world climate and one where we could not, and you did so it would align with your financial and/or political interest, which would you pick and why?"

I'd pick the one where the $275T didn't go to scammers, but instead ended up in the hands of folks seizing the means of production with it to create the blessings of civilization themselves, and cutting off parasitic 'useless eaters' like Yuval Hariri, Kill Gates, John Kerry, and King Charles from their sole source of wealth and power, and that's why. I like all the people I've met that have merit because they carry their weight, and I dislike all the people I've met that suck wealth out of my wallet.

"I am interested in your personal understanding about how GHG makes Earth habitable. could you provide it?"

Water vapor is ~90% of the GHG in Earth's atmosphere. The minor gases like CO2 and methane all together contribute the other ~10% of greenhouse effect. Without the GHG effect Earth would be a ball of ice, much like Europa and other moons and asteroids across the solar system in which liquid water is only in protected regions under the solid crust. Maybe life can exist in such places, but life on Earth in all it's robust fecundity is only possible because of GHG's that keep the temperature warm enough on the surface for all three phases of water to exist.

"...define climate..."

Without searching for a dictionary definition (which I am sure would be a better definition), climate is the long term environmental condition of a planet (specifically Earth, because we don't care about Pluto's climate here), the temperature ranges of it's atmosphere and oceans, and the amounts and types of precipitation and cycles of resources, such as water, carbon, and nitrogen.

Anyway, my personal take on this stuff isn't much use to you. Just read the paper and learn the views of lifelong researchers into these matters. Their personal views are well informed and far more useful.

Edit: I asked you to read the paper from Lindzen and Happer politely. I even said please. In it are the answers to all the questions I have patiently answered from you, which you have asked for some unknown purpose that isn't to get to the truth about Earth's climate, because that is better provided by the linked paper. I have asked you to specifically counter evidence you think is wrong, so that you can correct me and enable me to become right. I love to be corrected because I hate being wrong. I have spent a lot more time answering your questions than you would have spent reading the paper. I have been very respectful of you and bent over backwards to enable you to become better informed about what I believe is a harmful and duplicitous scam that will cause you to suffer terribly in days to come if you don't learn the truth.

Why won't you read the paper? Given the effort of posting, and responding to your questions, I have undertaken, I believe I have shown good faith in our interaction. All I have asked of you is to look at the evidence, which I have provided in the linked paper, so that you can decide for yourself what is true and factual and what is not. I am becoming convinced you have some ulterior motive that has not a thing to do with climate, because I have made learning about climate very easy for you - and you do not, but are doing something else that involves asking me for my personal views.

Until you cite some evidence have substantive criticism I think that you have some other purpose than resolving issues of climate for which you are using me. Today I saved a little bird from a cat, putting it high up on a bird feeder with copious food, and a little bit of water, where it was safe to rest and recover until it flew away.

Take freely of what I have provided you, here where I have given you safe haven to learn it without remonstration. But there is no more I can give you to keep you safe from the vicious predators out there. It is time to fly, my friend.

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

I'd pick the one where the $275T didn't go to scammers, but instead ended up in the hands of folks seizing the means of production with it to create the blessings of civilization themselves, and cutting off parasitic 'useless eaters' like Yuval Hariri, Kill Gates, John Kerry, and King Charles from their sole source of wealth and power, and that's why. I like all the people I've met that have merit because they carry their weight, and I dislike all the people I've met that suck wealth out of my wallet.

so first and foremost, you want whatever serves your financial interest the most, and then you want people who act in a way that they are aligned with your view of meritocracy to benefit, and then you want people whose actions go against what's right in your view of meritocracy to be either punished or not have the opportunity to against your view of meritocracy. okay

Water vapor is ~90% of the GHG in Earth's atmosphere. The minor gases like CO2 and methane all together contribute the other ~10% of greenhouse effect. Without the GHG effect Earth would be a ball of ice, much like Europa and other moons and asteroids across the solar system in which liquid water is only in protected regions under the solid crust. Maybe life can exist in such places, but life on Earth in all it's robust fecundity is only possible because of GHG's that keep the temperature warm enough on the surface for all three phases of water to exist.

Nasa says CO2 represents 20% alone, while clouds and water vapor represent 75% combined. Because CO2 traps heat, there's more heat, which means more water vapor, which also means more clouds. This means that an increase in CO2 also leads to an increase in the amount of the rest of GHGs. So more CO2 means more heat across 95% of the GHG board, not just in the CO2 part.

define climate

climate means the regional weather patterns of a certain region for at least a 30 years span. how different is this normative definition from what you had in mind, in your opinion?

Anyway, my personal take on this stuff isn't much use to you.

your personal "take", or rather, your scientifical understanding of this topic is relevant because I wouldn't take you seriously if I noticed you are content with parroting. "flat earth" believers and "we never went to the moon" believers are generally content with parroting. I expect you to either be better than them, or I expect you to be okay with not being taken seriously and to serve as an example of a pattern others shouldn't buy in

0
0
0.000
avatar

so first and foremost, you want whatever serves your financial interest the most

If that's what you call not wanting to be robbed, then you're right. Other than that I didn't mention my financial interest at all. You keep trying to fit my personal financial interests into our discussion, and it doesn't belong here. You then go on with (more) mangled grammar to impugn merit. People whose opinions I care about all have merit, and them as don't have merit don't have opinions I care about, for very good reasons. The most obvious feature of your comments is your pejorative intent. Are you a lawyer IRL? Maybe a spook? You have mentioned flat Earth a couple times too, which is something spooks are always pushing.

Here's a thought: quit trying to find (and insinuate, imply, and falsely assert) flaws in my character, and look at the evidence regarding climate I have posted. If you're only here to attack me personally, just go away.

0
0
0.000
avatar

Other than that I didn't mention my financial interest at all.

your reply here has mentioned it, so I included it.

If you're only here to attack me personally

I'm here partially to try to enlighten to both you and I as to why you align yourself with this study. I find that it is to rid you of guilt. you want to do good in the world and you want to pursue financial interests. however, if you believe that climate change is real, then you will feel guilt and blame yourself for enabling it through whatever direct and indirect means. so you've grown emotionally attached to this one idea that makes everything fine: both what you believe in and all of your actions. you need this study to be right. there will be existential dread if it is wrong.

all of this speaks positively of your character, except for your self-image, which is about average.

do you think I'm wrong?

it's okay if you think I'm wrong

but this is how your words and actions so far have made me see you

I'm sure you have an opinion of me as well

0
0
0.000
avatar

"your reply here has mentioned it..."

No, it doesn't. Stop putting words in my mouth.

"...you align yourself with this study."

You're doing it again. I'm pointing to evidence and data that disproves the AGW scam. That's not anything else but that. Quit insinuating, implying, and maligning me and others, and discuss the data and evidence, or go talk to others that want to deprecate dissent and obfuscate facts.

"...you want to pursue financial interests."

You do it again. Not once have I mentioned financial interests of mine in this discussion, and you continually try to assert that I do. It is now obviously malicious. Quote me when you claim I said something, so I can prove you're wrong.

"...if you believe that climate change is real, then you will feel guilt and blame yourself for enabling it..."

I have stated climate change is provably real, and that all humanity is incapable of causing it. You must be projecting your reason for such blatant disingenuity, unless you're actually on the take, in which case you're projecting to deflect consequences away from you.

"...you need this study to be right."

I need civil society to prosper, and the facts in evidence reveal a $275T scam ongoing that will dramatically harm people I care very much about. This study discusses those facts in evidence, so I have posted it to alert people so they can prevent being scammed and enable civil society to prosper. You, as is typical of your claims, insinuate more, that I am psychologically some kind of zealot - but again, that's only another baseless and false claim about me you're making up out of hole cloth to malign me, dissent against the AGW scam, and the authors of the linked paper.

You have proved you have no interest in scientific evidence, but are only interested in derogation of my character. Perhaps you can find some self esteem that isn't derived from putting others down with proper counseling. I don't provide that service here.

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

Stop putting words in my mouth

I was explaining how I see you based on what you've demonstrated. you're saying you don't agree with it. that's fine.

"...if you believe that climate change is real, then you will feel guilt and blame yourself for enabling it..."

I have stated climate change is provably real, and that all humanity is incapable of causing it.

jesus. just change that sentence to "if you believe that anthropogenic climate change".

man, something is really off with how you read others. if they're not incredibly specific, the conversation is derailed. yeah, you can blame it on them. on me. go ahead.

but are only interested in derogation of my character.

I don't think that was derogatory. I think it places you in a pretty average position as a human being.

0
0
0.000
avatar

but are only interested in derogation of my character.

you know what? I agree with you. it is very derogatory. it sucks that this was the conclusion I came to. I wish it was different. but it is what it is and I just have to deal with it. having someone tell you this must suck, but dealing with this sucks too, so... shrug. we part ways

0
0
0.000
avatar

mangled grammar to impugn merit

if you mean literal grammar of the english language, I'm doing my best. if you don't then nvm

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

I'm here partially to try to enlighten to both you and I

well, actually,

I like when good logic is used and I'm annoyed when bad logic is used. I saw bad logic in your post so I chased it. this is my actual primary motivator.

later on, I noticed that your leaps in logic and your motivation peak my interest so I chased them. this is my secondary motivator

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

I also think that this % thing is sabotaging you. Let's say there's this space that holds 1000 people and is filled with 70 talkative men and 30 talkative women. 30% of the population is female. 100% of them are loud. now I include another 30 women. however, there's a rule that whenever women are doublde, so are men. so now I have 60 talkative women and 140 talkative men. the distribution is the same - we still have 30% females. but we have so much more total noise.

if we fill this space with 850 people, there's going to be so much noise that no one will hear each other anymore. the difference from 800 to 850 people might be negligible since there is so much noise already anyway, since they already can't hear each other. so, yes, it's true that if we add 50 people, the difference might be negligible, but if we want them to be able to communicate, we need to start removing people, because they already can't understand each other at this point. note that, because of the aforementioned rule, the very same 30% of them are female at this 850 people stage.

however, we can only add or remove women. we have no control over men joining or leaving. just like adding women makes men join, removing women also makes men leave. so we remove women until, say, there's a total of 600 people. now they can hear each other. the situation has vastly improved, and yet, the distribution is still 70%-30%.

0
0
0.000
avatar

Thank you for your witness vote!
Have a !BEER on me!
To Opt-Out of my witness beer program just comment STOP below

0
0
0.000
avatar

Speaking of too convoluted...

This isn't about the Japanese Kanji for 'noisy'.

Noisy.png
IMG source - lelombrik.net

Let's stick to actual evidence instead of complaining about noise.

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

oh okay... :(

ps: I'm aware of that kanji and it's pretty funny under dark humor. and I actually thought of that kanji myself while writing it and chuckled. I did make sure to say that men are talkative as well to avoid that.

0
0
0.000
avatar

Thank you for your witness vote!
Have a !BEER on me!
To Opt-Out of my witness beer program just comment STOP below

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

okay, so I'm looking at the study, and boy does it bring me anguish reading it

At today's CO2 concentration in the atmosphere of approximately 425 parts per million,additional amounts of CO2 have little ability to absorb heat and therefore is now a weak greenhouse gas.

this first premise IS THE CORNERSTONE OF THE ENTIRE STUDY...

YET, this sentence makes no logical sense. it is true that even higher amounts of CO2 have diminishing effectS - but that doesn't mean the current effect is weak, only that even higher quantities won't make the problem linearly more serious. it is weird to assume that everything is fine just because it doesn't get much worse as quickly as it could.

This also means that the common assumption that carbon dioxide is in the IPCC's words "the main driver of climate change" is scientifically false.

and therefore, this doesn't make sense either. everything else is in this chapter relies on a nonsensical sentence until we hit that graph, which applies distorted information onto it

Doubling the standard concentration of CO2 (from 400 to 800 ppm) would cause [...] less than 1° C (2° F).

this would only be true if there were no feedback effects like more water vapor and clouds, which the study itself points out as dangerous

Finally, it bears noting that CO2 is not nearly as potent a greenhouse gas as water vapor and clouds

now this was unbearable:

B. The EPA's MAGICC Model Confirms Carbon Dioxide Now and at Higher Levels is a Weak Greenhouse Gas, So Reducing It to Net Zero Will Have a Negligible Effect on Temperatures

they never explain why they are saying this!?!??? I mean... it doesn't confirm? even if they think it does, they never explain it. like what??? they're actually saying "JUST TRUST ME OKAY"


I could go on, but the whole study is based on that first premise, which is just bogus

this study is saying pretty much this:

image.png

except it explains that it's fine because adding one extra flame won't make the fire significantly worse, which renders existing flames completely harmless!

0
0
0.000
avatar

I appreciate you making direct statements disputing the paper, because it enables me to understand your objections so that I can consider them. The specific issue you have seems to be the characterization of CO2 as a 'weak' GHG, not with the ~30 watts/m^2 CO2 actually prevents from being emitted. You ignore the actual quantification of the greenhouse effect exerted by different gases, and decry the particular word used to refer to the reduced ability of CO2 to exert the greenhouse effect after reaching it's saturation point. Lindzen and Happer point out that ~90% of the greenhouse effect is from water vapor and that effect is vital to Earth's habitability (which you characterize as dangerous rather than utterly essential to life itself). If 90% of work is done by one thing, and 10% of work by several others, clearly one has strong effect and the others weak, but you completely reject that evidence.

"...everything else is in this chapter relies on a nonsensical sentence until we hit that graph, which applies distorted information onto it"

You yourself point out that CO2 reaches saturation, and then has reduced effect as a greenhouse gas - but you characterize their calculation of that effect as 'nonsensical', and then claim they use 'distorted information'. What calculation should be used to correctly gauge the post-saturation level of greenhouse effect by CO2? What is your source for these claims?

"now this was unbearable:

"B. The EPA's MAGICC Model Confirms Carbon Dioxide Now and at Higher Levels is a Weak Greenhouse Gas, So Reducing It to Net Zero Will Have a Negligible Effect on Temperatures

"they never explain why they are saying this!?!??? I mean... it doesn't confirm? even if they think it does, they never explain it."

The very next paragraphs state:

"The Environmental Protection Agency uses the Model for Assessment of Greenhouse Gas Induced Climate Change (MAGICC), as does the IPCC, many government agencies and climate policy analysts to predict temperatures and sea level rise from the level of CO2 and other GHGs in the atmosphere.

"The MAGICC model confirms that the U.S. achieving Net Zero CO2 and other GHG
emissions to Net Zero by 2100 would cause negligible changes in Earth's surface temperature. Reducing them to Net Zero would reduce global temperatures by less than 1° C (1.8°F) by 2100."

This is indeed confirmation by this model that Net Zero by 2050 (or even 2100) will not avert a climate catastrophe, because <1 degree Celsius is not a catastrophic 'global boiling'. This MAGICC model is used by the IPCC itself and it does not support their claims of catastrophic global warming from CO2 impending.

"Doubling the standard concentration of CO2 (from 400 to 800 ppm) would cause [...] less than 1° C (2° F)."

To which you reply:

"this would only be true if there were no feedback effects like more water vapor and clouds..."

You attempt to refute the statement regarding the inability of CO2 at saturation to substantially exert more greenhouse effect by stating that water vapor and clouds will instead, that they will be somehow caused by increased CO2. No one has ever asserted evidence of that to my knowledge, certainly it isn't mentioned in the paper, and you offer no mechanism by which CO2 might somehow increase water vapor and clouds. What is this 'feedback effect' of increasing CO2 that causes more water vapor and clouds?

"...adding one extra flame won't make the fire significantly worse, which renders existing flames completely harmless!"

You are certainly aware that is a false characterization, because I've cited the actual numbers the authors provided several times. The titular image for my post, taken from the linked paper, shows that CO2 reduces radiation by ~30w/m^2, at specific frequencies, which isn't of null effect at all. It is what makes life possible on Earth, and, as the authors point out, more of it will increase the fecundity of life on Earth, as it has at 10x - 20x times the CO2 levels in the atmosphere today. The fact that CO2 reaches saturation doesn't cause CO2 to stop exerting it's greenhouse effect. It just doesn't exert more of it. When you are dissolving something, like salt or sugar, into water, it dissolves fine until it reaches saturation. Then no more of it will dissolve into the water, and it just accumulates as a slurry. It doesn't slow down or reduce the percentage being dissolved. Neither does it eject all the solute from solution. Just so CO2 absorbs heat at certain frequencies, until it reaches saturation in the atmosphere, and then it can't absorb anymore. It still feeds plants though, which is why greenhouse growers use it to increase the productivity of their operations.

CO2PineGrowth.jpg
IMG source - Lindzen and Happer (2025)

There seems to be nothing behind your dissension but desperation to justify your faith in AGW. You intend to remain amongst the faithful in your AGW religion, and no heretical facts or evidence will cause you to renounce your faith. That is my takeaway of your refutation of my post, and Lindzen and Happer's paper.

Thanks!

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

this is too convoluted for me. can we try this?

first, I want to talk about how the paper characterizes CO2 as a weak GHG. can we talk about that without bringing other stuff up?

if you say "you can't because it's necessary" then at least try to bring the bare minimum of other subjects when talking about something specific. rotate around one argument. I'm not saying you will, I'm just handling this preemptively. please.

I would like to talk about "the ~30 watts/m^2 CO2 actually prevents from being emitted" after we conclude the characterization of CO2 as a weak GHG.

0
0
0.000
avatar

What about it? CO2 is one of several gases that together produce ~10% of the greenhouse effect, water vapor producing the rest.

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

an excerpt from one of my other comments:

Nasa says CO2 represents 20% alone, while clouds and water vapor represent 75% combined. Because CO2 traps heat, there's more heat, which means more water vapor, which also means more clouds. This means that an increase in CO2 also leads to an increase in the amount of the rest of GHGs. So more CO2 means more heat across 95% of the GHG board, not just in the CO2 part.

this means CO2 is not a "weak gas"/"unimportant to climate change matters gas" as the study tries to make us believe. it is a "strong gas"/"important to climage change matters gas"

however, the paper classifies it as "weak" and justifies this by falsely affirming that it is weak "because increasing it is harmless"

then the study goes on to use data in its explanations using numbers that can only be justified if CO2 never affected the amount of water vapor/ clouds in the atmosphere. hell, if that was true, if CO2 did not mess with water vapor and clouds, then I'd probably validate the study. it would make sense.

0
0
0.000
avatar

That page is dated:

"This page contains archived content and is no longer being updated. At the time of publication, it represented the best available science.

"Published Jun 16, 2011"

NASA is one of the leading AGW propaganda institutions.

However, the numbers you are citing above are vastly different than those published by Lindzen and Happer. Lindzen and Happer say that water vapor provides ~90% of the GH effect, and CO2 and the several other GH gases combined provide the other ~10%.

I will make the following observation: On the NASA page you linked is published:

"...increased temperature results in higher evaporation rates and a wetter atmosphere, which leads to a vicious cycle of further warming."

While this seems reasonable - and alarming, because we know CO2 concentration in the atmosphere is rising - a cursory glance at Earth's past reveals it is a false statement.

Pg13L&H2025.png
IMG source - Lindzen and Happer (2025) Pg. 13

During most of the existence of Earth CO2 has been much higher than it is now, as you can see from the provided chart. After the Cambrian ~500Mya, life produced an explosion of diversity of species, and CO2 was ~10x what it is today. Obviously, at no time during the existence of Earth did the runaway 'vicious cycle' NASA said would happen occur. Temperature rose and fell, CO2 rose and fell, and it even appears from the chart that when one rose the other fell, and vice versa, most of the time.

However, let's bring this discussion much closer to today, and note mention of the Vikings colonization of Greenland after ~850 AD in the above image. Global temperatures were high enough then for pasture to raise sheep in Greenland, however by ~1250 AD, the colonies collapsed because temperatures cooled and pasture could no longer sustain sheep in Greenland. There are myriad sources and historical documents confirming this occurred. It is not a theoretical or speculative claim by the authors of the linked paper. I do not know of any source at all that denies that historical event, much less any credible source denying it.

That is not what NASA said would happen. They said when the atmosphere warmed, there would be more evaporation, which would warm the atmosphere more, and this cycle would continue to increase temperatures. That is not what happened, and the Greenland colonies failed.

So, we observe that the claim that higher temperatures will create a vicious cycle of increasing warming is false. We observe that NASA makes false claims, and presumably is actually well informed of Earth's climatic history, so they knowingly make false claims: NASA lied. That's what scammers do.

The first time someone lies to you should be the last time you believe them. Since NASA's claims are disproved by the climate history of the Earth, you will have to cite some other source for CO2 ratios and saturation points differing from Lindzen and Happer because NASA is without evidentiary value, being proved liars.

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

NASA is one of the leading AGW propaganda institutions. However, the numbers you are citing above are vastly different than those published by Lindzen and Happer. Lindzen and Happer say that water vapor provides ~90% of the GH effect, and CO2 and the several other GH gases combined provide the other ~10%.

why exactly do you have literal FAITH in Lidzen and Happer? you sound like they're priests of your church. let's doubt nasa, but not these guys? okay, but why? why should I trust them? what's so special about them? if they suddenly posted a study stating that climate change is real, would you also follow them and change your entire worldview because of this? your praise is unreal. they're just two humans. why would you decide to never question them...?

do you understand why consensus is important? it happens so the world doesn't just take your word for granted. it's so you can't forge results. you publish your paper, other people verify through experiment to see if what you're doing is replicable, and if it is replicable, then the fact that it is replicable will be published. if it is not replicable, then the fact that it is not replicable will be published.

IMG source - Lindzen and Happer (2025) Pg. 13

I'm going to have to start asking for sources of authors who don't show up in the website you've referenced before

0
0
0.000
avatar

"...you have literal FAITH in Lidzen and Happer..."

You're projecting. They're disproving lies, which I support.

"why should I trust them?"

When did I recommend trusting anyone? They're not proved to be liars, yet, as NASA is. Prove them wrong and I'll agree with you. You tried, but instead proved NASA wrong. When an honest man learns he is wrong, he either ceases to be wrong, or ceases to be honest. Liars just keep on lying, which is why you should not believe anything a liar says.

"your praise is unreal."

You're making shit up and putting words in my mouth. Have you so little self esteem you have to malign others to feel good about yourself?

"...consensus is important..."

Consensus is the antithesis of science.

"Historically, the claim of consensus has been the first refuge of
scoundrels…If it is consensus, it isn't science. If it's science, it
isn't consensus."--Michael Crichton 'Aliens Cause Global Warming', Caltech Michelin Lecture (Jan. 17, 2003).

"...scientific knowledge is determined by the scientific method, testing
theory with observations, not by government opinion, consensus, peer review or cherrypicked, fabricated, falsified or omitting contradictory data."--Lindzen and Happer (2025).

"it's so you can't forge results."

No. The scientific method prevents forging results, because independent replication of research, critical reading of papers, and earnest discussion enables such fraud to be discovered. Consensus can be - and is - bought, and buys exactly that fraud. This is why we discuss evidence and data in actual scientific debate, not what everyone says is such and so. Replication and refutation isn't consensus. It's the opposite of consensus, because it's actually reproducing the experiment to check the results and proving them wrong when you do. Consensus is just taking everybody at their word, without checking to see if they're telling the truth, and today there are $275T reasons for corruption of scientific research.

But you're not discussing evidence and data, you're searching for ways (and making them up when you can't find any) to malign me, the authors of the linked paper, in fact anything besides the linked paper and the disproof of the AGW scam. I feel you're acting in bad faith.

0
0
0.000
avatar
(Edited)

proved NASA wrong

using an older paper instead of something fresh doesn't prove them wrong

I feel you're acting in bad faith.

I feel like, for as long as I don't comply, you'll place me as either too dumb to understand or as having an ulterior motive

This is why we discuss evidence and data in actual scientific debate, not what everyone says is such and so

I am skeptical of the data they present. however, I trust in the hard science I've learned myself during this conversation which contradicts the logic of these two guys' study:

more CO2 means more water vapor and clouds, but the study ignores this in its affirmations and equations. afaik, CO2 only affects global climate by less than 1C if there is no feedback.

also, the fact that they deem CO2 as a "weak gas" in itself is concerning to me, because what "weak gas" means is left to interpretation. the exact reasoning they have given to call CO2 a "weak gas" also defies logic, as I have already pointed out. this makes me doubt them even more

I could continue learning, but I see that the paper is bad enough at this point.

and even if I did continue learning, I cannot discuss some of the evidence and data presented because I don't have the means to verify it myself and I'm not going to blindly believe graphs or whatever.

if you don't want me to use consensus, then you need to give me the means to assess Earth's temperature millions of years ago before I can discuss that graph. which is not going to happen

therefore I do not have anything further to add to the conversation, so I withdraw

0
0
0.000