Bear Mode Activated
Yeah, don't accuse me of being inconsistent
2 days ago I told you about why I was still hopeful for a 2025 bull run. I am still hopeful since this is for a longer outlook overall. But for the time being I am going back to being a bear: I have again powered up most of my liquid Hive. My reasoning for keeping a large chunk liquid was that I was still hoping for a pump to the $1 range. But it's clear now that this won't be happening in the next weeks/months. Hive is back to almost 25 cents and the "local top" I talked about was indeed at ~70 cents. So what now?
It's clear to me that my outlook for Hive has to be revised. It's a shame since it tracked the price perfectly for around 8 months.
The big run up to over a dollar is not happening any time soon.
Instead, I am now expecting something like this.
Yeah, it's kinda lame. Probably no new ATH. If we are lucky $2. Although the actual high is hard to estimate. Overall, however, I am now tending towards a lower high. My main reasoning is that price will follow the observed A-B pattern. Since the current "A" is significantly lower than the 2021 "A", I am also expecting a lower "B".
Conclusion
Not satisfied with 2025 so far. Although my outlook is still positive, it's clear that this cycle is drastically different from previous ones. Is it outrageous to claim that the whole cycle dynamics could be shifting? So far, perhaps yes. But if things don't change soon, I think it might just be doing that.
As a general reminder: Please keep in mind that none of this is official investment advice! Crypto trading entails a great deal of risk; never spend money that you can't afford to lose!
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Awesome post! Hive is lucky to have creators like you.
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If Hive get to $2 this year, it will be awesome, I will say, it keep a price like that, and follow up to a bigger one later on.
Powering up is still a better choice, I am positive that in the near future Hive will see a very bigger price.
l like your analysis. Have a happy weekend.
Not happening. $1.00 we’ll be lucky it seems. My outlook is hey earn about 10% plus by stacking and curating so just keep going but in terms of a sustained pump past a dollar I just don’t see it this cycle at all. I’d love to be wrong!
The advantage is that, we can stack a lot in this time, as there is no pump, i want to stack as well.
Most likely as our swings have been diminishing. But still a great price if we get it 🙏
I was doing well in my market analysis, but anxiety got in the way and I brought my purchase forward by 0.28. Unfortunately, now it's time to work with what's left of the short-term market.
Smart outlook 👍
I am still hoping that Hive would reach a new high this year
You have a great analysis on what could be the value of Hive in the next months
Hive reaching $2 will be a big thing
My personal opinion I discussed for my 2025 predictions on New Year’s Eve was most people will be shocked to see 95% plus of Alts not touch 2022 highs. I think the space has been exposed (the scammy part) but also we no longer have zero % interest rates and I just don’t see most breaking 2021 high. Interesting seeing ETH at under half its 2021 high right now with bitcoin still well above it. I predict only. Handful will break 2021 highs in the top 100 crypto’s. Hive I love but I see no world where we go close to the $3.35 high from 2021, I’d be thrilled if we touch a dollar even.