50% Power Down for Q4
Preparing for the Bull Run Euphoria
Not super happy with powering down over 50% of my stake. But what needs to be done needs to be done... It would be crazy not preparing for a classic Q4 bull run euphoria. So far we have always had one and if we don't get it in Q4/Q1, it would be a first. Since it takes 13 weeks to power down, we essentially have to do it now to be able to participate in the madness. Of course there is a possibility that it never comes, but it's the only way to be able to take advantage of potentially crazy market moves.
8 years on Hive
This year I have missed the annual postings of some old timers on here. I suppose one reason is that Hive's price is in the dumpster. At 17 cents, no one can really look back and say "Hive has really been worth my time", if we measure that time in terms of $. Being at ATLs feels surreal when we are entering Q4 now. I have expected that we'd be at $1 at this time of the cycle. But it seems that $1 might be the top for Hive in this cycle (if we are lucky!). Of course price is just one way to look at the time spent here. I have really enjoyed the friendships and communication for the most part on Hive. It really has been a journey with many ups and downs.
2026+ Outlook
What happens after the market tops? Can Hive really crash another 95% after we peak at $1? If so, it would reck the economy since the debt levels of HBD would be unsustainable and HBD would crash. Projects would stop and users would go away. It would be truly an awful thing to witness. I know that this can happen since I have just seen it with Koinos. The chain has essentially died over a painful 5 years and it's quite something seeing all of the community and value getting drained over a long period.
But I guess we could argue that price can't really crash that hard if there isn't a massive buying rally before it. Could cryptos actually become more stable after this cycle? I somehow doubt it. I have been arguing for a cycle shift instead. If so, ALTs could peak in Q3/4 of 2026 taking everyone off guard. It somehow would fit the market psychology if we get something unexpected again.
Conclusion
I really wanted to keep the majority of my stake, but that only makes sense if Hive is much higher valued. We could then use Hive as a passive income without losing the majority of our stake. I guess if whales start to sell into a rising market and plan to buy back lower it could be beneficial for the ecosystem. That's at least something Ii intend to do as long as Hive continues to thrive (which it does imo as can be seen from the projects and users' activity). I also wonder if we get some South Korean pumps again. Just last year we had billions(!) of Hive traded in a single day. If we see volume spiking again I guess it will be a clear signal to prepare to sell the top. On the other hand, I don't think I will have the guts to sell Hive below $1, so maybe I'll get to keep my stake after all...

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Omg this cycle have been hard for Hive, hope aswell we atleast see $1 🙏
Yes, complete disappointment for now
Not just Hive alot of crypto are struggling to survive.
It is important to take some profits from time to time
!BBH
Koinos died ? So it's not good to convert to HBD ?
It's an option, but internal market might be cheaper
it was a sorrowful but decent reading. ty my friend....
Let's keep hoping for it's raise, with time to come
The south Korean pump time, use to be my favorite part of the year I hope it happens again this year.
Our TRON is up 16,000 % since March 2020
At least we all have our Free Tron from Steemit days …
TRON : https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/tron/
What do you think the main reason is ? Lack of development? Too liberal with RC ( or fees )? I always felt like more RC should be charged , right now the moment you reach 500HP you don't have to worry at all. For big apps like splinterlands too just 10k to 15k HP is more than enough .
The Downvoters drove everyone away from Hive. We all sold our Hive to buy Bitcoin in 2021
That would be an idea, but I suppose it could also hinder retention of small users
I powered down 100 % of my Hive Power prior to the last Hive pump. It was the best decision I ever made.
What is happening to altcoins in general ismore like a mystery. I notice that when bitcoin goes up for like 5%, altcoins goes ap too but with a lower rate like 2%. Also when Bitcoin falls like 3%, most altoins fall drastically like 6%. This has been happening for a long time.