Why The Central Bank System Is Dead

Central banks.

We all are somewhat familiar with them. They are in the news a lot. Many believe these entities have the power to maneuver the economy. Heading by financial wizards, they take control in an effort to save us all.

Unfortunately, the mystique around central banks far outpaces their reality. These entities are failed and beyond repair. There are a number of reasons that go into this, none having to do with what most people espouse.

Instead, the primary reason is the limitations were exposed more than half a century ago. Since that time, they were basically dead on arrival.

Source

Post World War 2

The end of the second World War ushered in a new era. This was one called globalization. Due to an alignment of most of the world (the Soviets, N. Koreans and Cubans being the exception) and advancements in transportation, communication, and technology, the world got smaller.

Once this happened, we saw international trade exploded. No longer were the economy based mostly on national trade. Commerce was going global.

This was a problem for central banks. Their powers stopped at the national borders. For most currencies, this wasn't a problem since they were local anyway.

The one exception was, perhaps, the Federal Reserve, Since this was behind the US dollar, it was able to influence things globally, at least in theory.

Unfortunately, this entity was no more adept at navigating the global waters. In fact, the Fed was spared facing what other reserve currencies did, an idea that became known as Triffin's Dilemma.

Why was it spared? Because a new system was set up by the banks (and other financial institutions) that make the central bank redundant. This was established on top of the eurodollar, a fact that aided the Fed greatly.

The Eurodollar System is a global network of borrowing and lending all designed to facilitate global trade. Essentially, it got money to where it was required, on a timeline needed.

It was the defacto system. That meant, for the past 60 years, the posturing by central banks was nothing more than theater. Since the 1960s, this system was fully in control.

Eurodollar System Is Sick

Today, we find ourselves in a sticky situation. The Eurodollar System is sick and there is little chance of recovery. This is bringing Triffin's Paradox back to life.

We see the Fed trying to rescue the global economy. Over the last decade, the number of alphabet programs it put together to address issues is stunning. Credit lines were opened with every decent sized central bank in an effort to get dollars out to the world.

The results are less than stunning.

In fact, it is safe to say the Fed failed. We are watching things crack and, sadly, the policy makers have no clue as to why. Phrases suck as balance sheet constraint are thrown around without people realizing what it means.

Ultimately, the way is being paved for cryptocurrency. The central bank system died long ago. It was taken over by the Eurodollar System. Policy makers did a lot of posturing but most of it was for show.

Now, we are reaching the end as the collateral supply across the world dries up. That means we are going to see a tightening regardless of what the central banks do. When the primary dealers are confined, there is no place for the system to go.

That is exactly the point we are at. To be, the next evolution will be based around digital assets. Here we can capture value at different economic levels and collateralize that across the world.

It is the only way forward. Central banks are done. This was the case for a long time.


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11 comments
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Even though I've been in crypto for a bunch of years, I still find it hard to assume that the price varies so much and see my amount in USD fluctuate so sharply. Imagine how those who start feel.

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Volatility is certainly part of the story. We have to embrace small market cap couple with huge amount of speculation is going to lead to that.

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Yeah, but is the hard part when you are in loss

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That is where you have to understand markets. If you cant emotionally or mental handle the loss, especially on paper, then this isnt what one belongs in. Markets go up and they go down.

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Yes, Im not good Im trading because of that. Handle loss is not for me lol.

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I'm living in interesting times, indeed.

I can't imagine what will take over in case of a failed central bank. Crypto is the natural replacement, except that it can't be controlled. The people running the governments may not want it. But if the politicians we elect are hurting and fleeing to crypto, they may very well force the beasts to accept crypto.

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Cryptocurrency will be able to solve most of the constraints that central banks are facing as it is native in the digital realm. Central banks weren't build to handle this expansion we're experimenting. Probably, they didn't anticipate that technology will grow this fast and create this much value.

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I agree with your primary message: The Federal Reserve, and all central banks in the world, are powerless to stop the flow of goods and services across what are deemed "national borders." The interest rate range that they set on affects the banks that wish to borrow from the central banks. That lending rate has nothing to do with the rest of the economy. We, as normal citizens, cannot borrow at 0% indefinitely like the commercial banks could for 14 years, we had to pay for the privilege - and they went and made things so much worse. I am awaiting the next stage of the bank collapse, but i don't know how long it is going to take to start showing itself..

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