Politics Bring Cryptocurrency Into The Mainstream
We cannot deny that cryptocurrency managed to become part of the political discussion this election season, at least in the United States.
While the last two Presidential administrations were unfavorable to crypto, there are people pinning their hopes on Trump and Harris.
The problem here is their track records.
Trump's administration was far from friendly to crypto. Perhaps this was the doing of Mnuchin who took a hardline stance. Harris, on the other hand, is supposedly a part of the decision making process of Biden's administration which probably was worse than Trump's when it comes to crypto.
Of course, we would be remiss if we didn't mention the United States Congress, which failed to pass any meaningful crypto legislation in the past 8 years.
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Politics Bringing Cryptocurrency Into The Mainstream
The Presidential candidates get all the attention but there are races all over the country. Member of Congress are involved in their own campaigns. Then you have all the state races. This is bringing a lot of attention as many candidates are bringing up the topic.
One metric that might be of interest is the fact that crypto is starting to register in battleground states.
So we measured swing states’ relative levels of crypto interest. Two battlegrounds expected to be among the tightest races in November — Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — have seen the fourth- and fifth-biggest jumps in crypto search interest since the last election in 2020, measured as a proportion of total searches using Google trends.
This is very interesting.
The projected close races saw large jump in crypto related searches. Is this something that voters are looking to for assistance with their decision.
Or does this reflect something else? Perhaps these are states, even though close in the Presidential race, where crypto is being adopted. Maybe the election is simply coincidence.
Again, the answers will likely never be known. What we do understand is that cryptocurrency is becoming a talking point for many candidates.
Ultimately, this will result is the passage of legislation.
Stablecoins
One of the points that is being driven home is the fact that stablecoins have a lot to offer the US government.
Stablecoins — which have become one of the most popular crypto products — are one of the biggest topics for policy discussion, with several bills already floating around Congress. One of the tailwinds, at least in the U.S., is the realization that stablecoins can fortify the U.S. dollar’s position abroad even as the dollar’s global reserve currency status slips. Today, more than 99% of stablecoins are denominated in USD, which dwarfs the next largest denomination: 0.20% in EURO.
There is a reason why tens of billions of coins are now backed by US Treasuries. Since it is the reserve currency, we are seeing the piggybacking of this as a medium of exchange. Many in Washington are hearing the attacks from the outside regarding their decisions. It is evident that the US is taking actions which could threaten its standing in the world.
Stablecoins serving to reinforce the US dollar might be a benefit these politicians did not expect.
This was further emphasized:
An open letter to leading United States presidential candidates written by Paxos CEO Charles Cascarilla urges them to adopt stablecoins to maintain the US dollar’s global dominance and improve inefficiencies in the traditional banking system.
He further adds:
Blockchain and stablecoins are “replatforming the financial system” to make it symbiotic with the Internet, Cascarilla wrote. He stated:
“Stablecoins or digital dollars—U.S. dollars digitized via blockchain technology—are the crucial upgrade for the payment system that will revolutionize money movement, allow greater participation in the global economy and ensure the supremacy of the U.S. Dollar for years to come.”
It is actually a sentiment that I agree with. We are looking at a powerful medium of exchange being tokenized, something that enhances the depth and liquidity of the dollar. This is being compounded by Wall Street and the likes of Larry Fink, who then are creating other products on top of this. With so many funds likely to pop up, we could see trillions in stablecoins created over the next few years.
Many of these will be tied to US Treasuries. From the government perspective, this is key.
My view is we will see, if this is resolved, a multitude of stablecoins developed. They will be tied to specific applications, similar to what PayPal did. It would not surprise me if X, Google, and Meta all brought out their own versions once the regulatory uncertainty cleared up.
Ultimately, the currency situation would mirror the present one except that it would mostly be US dollar based. There would be the top dogs, perhaps a USDC or Tether. Then we might have ones that are much smaller, such as a USD stablecoin for eBay.
However this progresses, the fact that crypto is on the radar of politicians is helping to bring a great deal of awareness. This will likely continue as we enter 2025.
Things are not going to slow down.
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I just wonder who will win the Us presidential elections, when is it though?
Harris is most likely to win.. it depends on who wins one particular state (Pennsylvania) but I think it'll end up being a landslide. The election is Tuesday but we may not get results for a few days.
Hmmmm i thought trump has the upper hand I've been seeing his campaign all over the net especially tiktok, and it looks like folks around the world just love him dont know why though @aussieninja
Yeah, it's a little confusing, but Trump's party has been flooding the media with polls that make it look like he's ahead, but they're not doing the work to convince actual voters to vote for them.
I think it's all so Trump can claim election-interference again... he's already saying it's rigged, which is not someone who was winning would do (because then you'd undermine your own win).
Hmm from The look of things it seems trump isnt your best friend and you aint voting for him at all
Trump is only best friends with himself.
Lolzzz i guess so
Seriously? Trump party is flooding the polls. Look at most them. They are administered by organizations on the left and fed through a media that is controlled by the left.
While the assessment of who is ahead might be correct, your reasoning is foolishness.
How else will you explain (on Tuesday or Wednesday) the polls being so different from the actual results?
Look at this aggregate of polls on 538:
Trafalgar is right-leaning, Red Eagle Politics is right leaning, The Telegraph is right-leaning, Fox is right-leaning, Real Clear Defense is right-leaning.
The problem is that left-leaning organizations try so hard to appear balanced, while right-leaning organizations don't (so the median skews to the right). I truly don't believe the media is controlled by the left ; WSJ is owned by Jeff Bezos, Fox is owned by Rupert Murdoch, Patrick Soon-Shiong owns the LA Times, John Malone owns CNN, these are all right-leaning owners. Billionaires tend to lean right because they want the tax cuts, they don't care about social security, unions and healthcare.
I am going to cut you some slack due to the fact that you are not American, so perhaps your ignorance of American media is to be expected. Let us start with the list.
The WSJ is right leaning but it isnt owned by Jeff Bezos. To say Bezos is a right leaning owner is foolish. What he actually owns, in addition to a bunch of Amazon stock (one of the most left leaning companies) is the Washington Post, the epitome of liberal papers. That one is even further to the left than the NY Times, another radical left paper.
Then you mention CNN. Is your claim that CNN isnt left leaning? That is absurd.
As for the rest of the media, outside Fox, everything is to the left.
How about social media:
Then you have the streaming apps:
All these are owned by corporations that are heavily to the left. Just look at Bob Iger and Reed Hastings.
This is no longer the case.
Lets look at the Bloomberg Billionaire Index (Americans only):
8 Steve Balmer - D
They arent worried about that since they tend have the firepower to combat whatever tax situations there are.
Ah, sorry about confusing the WSJ and WP.
I honestly think that things are changing... the Washington Post editorial section was going to endorse Harris until Bezos told them not to and so for the first time in 68 years they didn't endorse anyone. They lost over 250K subscriptions over the issue, so Jeff Bezo might vote D, but he's certainly not publicly picking a side.
Apparently Mark Zuckerberg has been calling Trump (hasn't endorsed anyone) and their Twitter-copycat Threads has been squashing all political content (it hasn't banned it but the algorithm doesn't boost any of it either).
Sundar Pichai of Google has apparently also been calling Trump too.
The YouTube algorithm boosts right-leaning content because it boosts by engagement and right-leaning content gets the most engagement. Facebook leans extremely heavily to the right because the main users are older.
Elon has done way more for Trump than all the other billionaires combined have for Harris.
My point is that I don't think it's so clear cut anymore what is left-leaning in this election cycle. Media companies have been hedging their bets and not pushing hard in either direction, potentially because Trump has threatened to have ABC and other licenses removed.... which pushes the Overton window to the right.
NYT doesn't push as hard to the left as Fox does to the right. If you remember NYT columnist Elza Klein called for Biden to drop out back in February and they often publish right-leaning opinion pieces and they don't publish a lot of the incendiary things that Trump says, effectively catering to a more moderate audience.
I truly don't think things are as clear cut as they used to be. It's way more complex and nuanced now that Trumps threats and popularity really have changed the media landscape.
Regardless of all this though... all the polls and prediction markets have either had Trump ahead or 50/50 for months... and I think we'll find out on Tuesday that they've all been extremely wrong. So we'll need to figure out why they've been so wrong, and my theory is that lots of right-leaning polls skewed the results towards Trump.
Is anyone else has a better theory I'd absolutely open to it.
I'm not convinced Mnuchin was that involved when Trump was anti-Bitcoin. I think it's more likely that he didn't like it because all his assets were real estate and USD based. Now that he's received donations from the Winklevoss twins and Elon, I think he'd be more likely to legislate based on their preferences... so they could try to soften demand for ETH, Solana, etc to help more money into BTC and DOGE.
I'm glad Harris reviewed her previous stance on crypto, I imagine their lens would be more on legislation to help create jobs and renewable energy projects.
Oh yeah. What is her plan?
She hasn't laid out specific plans (as far as I know, neither has Trump) but she's said that she wants to "encourage innovative technologies like AI and digital assets".
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It will be interesting to watch how Bitcoin works as a disruptor to governing itself. At the early stages just Bitcoin whales slowly becoming the major political backers to eventually unplugging the dearly loved printing press.
This is the problem with crypto. Most fail to understand how even the basics of money work. The money supply is not controlled by the central bank when we have fraction reserve banking.
https://inleo.io/threads/view/omarrojas/re-leothreads-29wbvmylj?referral=omarrojas
I commented on another post, but I have basically the same to say here:
The toothpaste (better and better digital currencies) is out of the tube and it is not going back. The only questions are how they will be used by governments and to what extent.
I believe that $BTC adoption by governments will only grow because of its security qualities and band-wagoning. Other coins (ETH, SOL etc.) will also be tolerated by governments because of their utility for finance. Stablecoins are already in the fiat arena and governments will either use existing ones or create their own with desired qualities.
I agree with you on all these points. Governments are only going to step up their accumulation of Bitcoin. We will also see companies doing the same.
Yeah. I am interested to see if Microsoft can avoid $BTC this go round. At some point, investors will insist that public companies have it.