Stock Market Secrets to 100 Baggers
In the quest to find 100 bagger stocks you must look at less known small capitalization stocks. These companies historically outperform their large capitalization peers because the small cap space is much less efficient with fewer analyst publishing research papers and fewer investors digging into the financials.
Examples of Small Caps turning into big winners
Pool Corporation ($POOL) traded at $0.92 in 1995 and is worth $307 today.
Constellation Software ($CSU) traded at $18 in 2006 and is worth $4568 today (30,000% gain).
Monster Beverage ($MNST) traded at $0.01 in 1996, became a 100 bagger in 10 years and has continued to gain value since.
Finding a 100 bagger is like Venture Capital investing. Out of a portfolio of 100 securities some will go bankrupt, some will break even, some will double or triple and the one lucky bet will increase by 100 times or more.
Six Secrets to 100 Baggers
- Small Cap is where competition is weak
"To outperform the market, go where competition is weak." - Warren Buffett
Size hurts performance since it is easier to increase value from $1 million market cap to $2 million verse $1 trillion to $2 trillion.
This is exemplified by looking at all the legendary money managers over time. They are on fire during their early career and as the assets under management increases they begin to perform just like an index fund.
Buffett is a primary example. As Berkshire Hathaway increase in market capitalization his outperformance verse the S&P500 decreased.
- Let your winners run
Warren Buffett's two famous rules of investing are: Rule No. 1: Never lose money. and Rule No. 2: Never forget Rule No. 1
You must be like a gardener trimming the weeds (cut losses early) and letting the flowers bloom (let winners run).
- Small capitalization stocks outperform
Fama and French data indicates an average outperformance of about 2.85% per year since 1926.
Every small percentage outperformance over the long term leads to a large difference in wealth created due to the power of compound interest.
An investment of $1,000 in large-cap stocks, with an average growth rate of 10% Source: Ken French data library, in 1926 would be worth approximately $12 million today.
An investment of $1,000 in small-cap stocks, with an average growth rate of 12.85% Source: Ken French data library, in 1926 would be worth approximately $157 million today.
The investment in small cap stocks would have provided 13x more money.
- Micro-cap Stocks
To boost the performance further you could invest in Micro-caps, although there is a much greater risk of investing in companies who go bankrupt at this stage.
Micro-cap have historically provided 3.2% return greater than Large-cap stocks. Source: Ken French data library
An investment of $1,000 in micro-cap stocks, with an average growth rate of 13.2% Source: Ken French data library, in 1926 would be worth approximately $214 million today.
- Quality small-caps
Within the small-cap universe, a focus on quality stocks leads to further improvement. Quality stocks are companies with strong fundamentals and a history of stable, consistent performance.
- 100 Bagger screen
Market Capitalization less than $3 billion.
Healthy balance sheet: Low debt
High insider ownership
High profitability
ROIC greater than 15%
Revenue & EPS growth greater than 10%
Lower the share dilution the better
Company should have plenty of opportunities to reinvest profits
Low valuation: low starting PE ratio (you want to see faster EPS growth and a rising PE ratio during ownership)
Owner Operators: If the founder is still involved in day to day operations then they will have a long term mindset which compounds over time verse the short term thinking of most companies trying to beat the quarterly numbers.
To your success,
Thomas Moore
Disclosure: The author has no plans on being long any mentioned company at this time. The author wrote this article themselves, and it expresses their own opinions. The author is not receiving compensation for it. The author has no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
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I keep remembering this as I strive to build up my wallet on Hive! :)
Nothing wrong with diversifying. I like to have growth potential in several buckets.
These are great points and the first think when I've read it is to try to feed this data to an AI model and see what options it brings. I wanted to do a small portfolio of 10 small cap stocks, but instead I've taken all that money and put it in 2 big cap stocks. I guess I need to go back to the design board and maybe implement my first idea as well. Great info, thanks for sharing!
Be careful with just using a simple screen. Some of these stocks can look great from a data standpoint but they have skeletons in the closet that can only be found with deeper research such as in the notes to quarterly reports.
A simple screen is a great starting point though to limit the number of companies to do further research on.
That point about starting with a low PE and letting the PE rise as EPS compunds is the real edge here. Pairing that with ROIC above 15 percent and high insider ownership filters out the pretenders and keeps the foucs on cash machines. I like how you kept the screen simple since too many rules turns it into ADmin work instead of investing. Execution still means cutting losers fast and not panic selling winners when they look toppy, which is harder than it sounds but worth it.