What are the odds of a Bitcoin Reserve?

Hello!

Thanks to Polymaket we now have an ability to bet on this kind of events. Even if you don't bet this tool can help us know what the market is thinking about a particular topic or event. Let's see what the market thinks about the United States getting a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve during the first 100 days or during the year 2025.

If we take a look at the market: Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
They give a 41% chance, almost 50% which is really great! Here the photo of the market odds evolution since last November 7th.

It's almost at the all time highs. In my opinion, everything that is close to 50% is super good news for Bitcoin.

Let's take a look at the other market, it's called: US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

In this case, they give a 62% chance for the whole 2025. It's almost 2 out of 3 times. Holy shit! This is more probable than I anticipated. We will get fireworks if this is implemented this year.
There is a lot of hope in the market. Bitcoin has rised to $105,000 today, 2 days before Trump takes office. It seems that Trump will have a lot of work to do when he takes office.

I hope you have a great day.

Posted Using INLEO