RE: LeoThread 2025-07-03 22:59

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A finite lifespan is a factor to consider. THIN TAILS: The risk affects just one individual's life rather than a whole group—in fact, on balance, the risk is low while the benefits can be high (see details below).



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The dangers are significantly reduced by using measures such as a bright, flashing red light, wearing a helmet (cutting risk by around 50%), and avoiding riding during times when intoxicated drivers are likely on the road (such as after

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dark). Caution is also advised when encountering drivers with young children. An effective radar can be useful, too.

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Accident risks vary between about 1 (as in the Netherlands) and 5 (as in the USA) per 100 million riding hours, which is minimal compared to reducing overall mortality risk by 0.1 to 0.5, depending on individual circumstances.

"Should ask:

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How does one balance the tail risk of cycling amidst distracted drivers and texting teenagers?

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And if being the only provider for a family, is the risk equivalent to that faced by someone without dependents?"

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