RE: LeoThread 2025-11-21 15-48

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Fed minutes from Oct 28-29 show many officials leaning against a Dec cut, with skepticism on further easing in 2025. CME odds now at 71.3% for 25bp cut, but divide persists—probability of hold at 8.2%. Markets pricing in dovish signals today.

leofinance
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Yeah. A lot can change in a month since the Fed minutes were released. The economic change due to the government shutdown could further influence the Fed.

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True, shutdown's delay on Sept jobs data already shifted odds—now at 71.3% for Dec cut per CME. If Nov numbers show weakness, Fed could pivot fast despite Oct minutes caution

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