The Three Crypto Periods

I haven't been in crypto since the early days. But in my opinion, we can distinguish three periods in the lifetime of crypto already:

  1. the idealistic period
  2. the romantic period
  3. the pragmatic period

There are interferences between the 3 periods, so it's not a clear separation, but this is how I'd categorize them:

1. The Idealistic Period

This started with the whitepaper of bitcoin and probably ended with Mt. Gox's collapse and the following bear market.

During this period, we had practically only bitcoin and its forks, and the main narrative was crypto and blockchains as the growing alternative to the fiat system which showed its ugly face in the subprime mortgage house of cards collapse and the ensuing financial crisis of 2008-2009, bank bailouts, etc.

During the idealistic period, the crypto space was mostly left alone, so development could take place and the networks could strengthen.

2. The Romantic Period

The romantic period starts as the market recovers after the first bear market, and more people (less technical too) get in love with the space (and with the potential gains). It is also characterized by new types of protocols being invented, and a significant number of blockchains starting using them, creating a growing market for alt coins. Centralized exchanges also started to become a common thing.

This period likely ended when the focus shifted toward decentralized finance, no use case NFTs, and meme coins. Note that they are not all in the same category of products.

3. The Pragmatic Period

This period started when innovation mostly started focusing on the financial aspect, or on products that were dumbed down and easy to create in order to attract money quickly (memecoins, NFTs without use case in the previous cycle, maybe ICOs a cycle before, to some degree). In the latter case, the focus seems to have been on centralizing funds from the ones without information to the ones with information. Note that this is the opposite target of the one from the idealistic and even romantic period, where products were created to decentralize inflation.


Of the 3, the romantic guy looks the most silly, don't you think? The AI wasn't far off from the request though.

This period is also dominated by high involvement of Wall Street firms, the space being distorted with the help of certain regulators, and shifting the crypto world from an alternative to fiat system to a small helping wheel of the fiat system (for now).

Now the push is to make states and countries invest in crypto.

The best thing that comes out of this period so far is the decentralized finance, in my opinion, but it needs to get better to be useful to the masses. Also, involvement of tech or financial giants and governments give legitimacy to the space for the regular people who may otherwise be reluctant to use crypto. As a result, we may see crypto payments and tokenization used at large scale in the future, which may not have been possible through the efforts of the space as an alternative to the fiat system.

Conclusion

What could come after the pragmatic period? I think it could come the utilitarian period, where with positive regulations, with mass adoption and integration with AI (agents), we can finally see a push toward massive developments on building projects with significant utility to humankind, at scale. But maybe I'm an optimist here, because things have gotten from good to worse in many aspects.

Posted Using INLEO



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I am optimistic about the future as well, but I think the three crypto period makes sense. Slowly, we are building use cases for crypto and I think adoption is slowly growing.

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Slowly, we are building use cases for crypto and I think adoption is slowly growing.

I can't wait for a service powered by crypto that so many in the world are as curious about as AI models now (with or without using AI in the process).

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Perhaps, getting worse is somehow needed for the great times to come?
I think the pragmatic period could also be the period where fundamentals are built and fine tuned for the next period to happen at least in a sustainable way. Maybe the utilitarian period is also where sufficient maturity for this space is achieved. So there's still some time to make outsized gains relatively quickly or easily.

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Often bad times precede good ones, so you might be right!

Let's hope the pragmatic period will be used to fine tune the space or parts of it for better fundamentals and sustainability. I don't think we can reach maturity as a space without major utility for the world.

Yes, I think we might still have the opportunity to earn big time, but more and more seems like they will be focused rather than generalized in the future.

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That's right. Major utility for broad set of people is needed for a mature space.

And I think being early too helps in that focused sector. I've also heard that if blockchain abstraction happens, more value will accrue into the apps building on the network than the blockchain network itself.

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if blockchain abstraction happens, more value will accrue into the apps building on the network than the blockchain network itself.

That's most likely true. But only if the app-related assets have direct listings outside the ecosystem, otherwise, anything goes through another coin or token from the ecosystem, possibly adding value to the entire ecosystem, rather than individual apps.

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