Ai model predictions Premier League: Round 15
Like written in the result post, I will wait 2 more matchdays before I see if I can improve the predictions. This is what the model expects.
đ Overall Performance (19 Matches): 1X2 Hitrate: 42.1% | O/U Hitrate: 57.9%
đ All Predictions
| Match | xG | 1X2 | O/U | BTS | CS | Odds (H/D/A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (3) vs Arsenal (1) | 1.02-1.55 | Away (46%) | Under (54%) | Yes (52%) | 0-1 | 4.2/3.5/1.9 |
| Bournemouth (14) vs Chelsea (4) | 1.39-1.60 | Away (44%) | Over (58%) | Yes (61%) | 1-2 | 3.1/3.75/2.15 |
| Everton (10) vs Nott'm Forest (16) | 1.64-0.97 | Home (48%) | Under (54%) | Yes (52%) | 1-0 | 2.2/3.2/3.5 |
| Man City (2) vs Sunderland (6) | 2.86-0.36 | Home (77%) | Over (63%) | No (29%) | 2-1 | 1.25/6.5/10.0 |
| Newcastle (12) vs Burnley (19) | 3.03-0.57 | Home (74%) | Over (64%) | No (42%) | 3-0 | 1.27/6.0/9.5 |
| Tottenham (11) vs Brentford (13) | 1.88-1.24 | Home (46%) | Over (56%) | Yes (61%) | 2-1 | 2.3/3.5/3.0 |
| Leeds (17) vs Liverpool (9) | 1.19-2.03 | Away (52%) | Over (59%) | Yes (62%) | 1-2 | 3.8/4.0/1.85 |
| Brighton (7) vs West Ham (18) | 2.49-0.82 | Home (65%) | Over (61%) | Yes (52%) | 2-1 | 1.55/4.33/5.75 |
| Fulham (15) vs Crystal Palace (5) | 1.45-1.21 | Draw (37%) | Under (52%) | Yes (55%) | 1-1 | 2.55/3.3/2.8 |
| Wolves (20) vs Man United (8) | 1.16-1.85 | Away (53%) | Over (57%) | Yes (59%) | 1-2 | 4.2/4.0/1.75 |
The model thinks that we are going to see an Arsenal win, probably lifting the dreams for the gunners, to finally lift the throphy at the end of the season again.
Surprisingly the model did predict it's first draw. Draws are extremely hard for AI model to predict. But it thinks that Fulham and Crystal place will share the points. Both will score exactly once.
According to the model, City will be the banker of the week. But the odds just don't justify to pick a City win for the 1X2 ticket. It also thinks that Liverpool will finally win another game.
The model has run now we have to wait and see how the matchday will evolve.
đď¸ Recommended Tickets
Well now it is time to see which games the model did select for the bets. I don't control this, I blindly will follow the bets proposed by the model.
1X2 | Stake: âŹ2.20 | Max Pot: âŹ41.11
| Match | Pick | Prob | Odd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton (7) vs West Ham (18) | Home | 65% | 1.55 |
| Wolves (20) vs Man United (8) | Away | 53% | 1.77 |
| Leeds (17) vs Liverpool (9) | Away | 52% | 1.85 |
| Everton (10) vs Nott'm Forest (16) | Home | 48% | 2.16 |
| Aston Villa (3) vs Arsenal (1) | Away | 46% | 1.93 |
| Tottenham (11) vs Brentford (13) | Home | 46% | 2.34 |
I am a little bit surpised that the model didn't pick the Chelsea win to be added to the ticket. This probably because it only predicts a chance for them to win away at Bournemouth. For the rest the ticket is nicely divided by home and away games.
Let's have faith in the system and hope that we will at least receive a first payout for the 1X2.
O/U | Stake: âŹ2.20 | Max Pot: âŹ20.93
| Match | Pick | Prob | Odd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle (12) vs Burnley (19) | Over | 64% | 1.59 |
| Man City (2) vs Sunderland (6) | Over | 63% | 1.51 |
| Brighton (7) vs West Ham (18) | Over | 61% | 1.62 |
| Aston Villa (3) vs Arsenal (1) | Under | 54% | 1.75 |
| Everton (10) vs Nott'm Forest (16) | Under | 54% | 1.71 |
| Fulham (15) vs Crystal Palace (5) | Under | 52% | 1.78 |
Well the model proved itself in the last 2 rounds that it has a good sense to predict the O/U market. It is now hoping that he did add the correct games to the ticket. I know that at the moment I will try to take 3 overs and 3 unders. I don't know if I am happy with this. Due to the relatively big amount of goals scored. But I will give it 2 more rounds, like I wrote multiple times.
Correct Score | Stake: âŹ1.10 | Max Pot: âŹ341.37
| Match | Pick | Prob | Odd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham (15) vs Crystal Palace (5) | 1-1 | 14% | 6.00 |
| Newcastle (12) vs Burnley (19) | 3-0 | 13% | 7.75 |
| Everton (10) vs Nott'm Forest (16) | 1-0 | 11% | 6.75 |
| Aston Villa (3) vs Arsenal (1) | 0-1 | 10% | 6.25 |
And here is the weekly lottery ticket. Last week we had one game correct. I would be great and superb if it could land 2 or more this round. But we all know that the chances that this will happen are pretty slim, to almost non existing.
Cheers,
Peter
You get a few more weeks under you belt and I might have to start following the O/U bets with my crypto account.
Give it some more weeks to prove itself
BPC Locked On Mc Franko & The Franko
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