$HIVE, $BTC & ETH/BTC Technical Analysis - 25.01.2026

6 days ago

Another week has passed and it's Sunday again, so it's time for another analysis of the two assets I'm usually charting and another pair that worth keeping an eye on. So let's see what we can expect next week, or get ready to react to different scenarios if those happen.

Today it's the 25th of the month, so there are still 6 days till the monthly candle close, therefore we can't take the current candle for granted yet. At the time of writing, price is slightly below the monthly open, but as I said, we need to wait for the monthly candle close. Levels of interest are marked on the chart.

On the weekly time frame, price seems to be heavy, printing the second bearish candle after getting rejected at $0.113. At the time of writing, price bounced off of the 0.75 level and is still sitting below mid range.

If weakness continues, sweeping the swing low at $0.0835 is highly possible. In case we get a bounce at some point and a reversal, the levels I'm looking at on the upside are $0.113 and $0.1214 after that.

On the daily time frame, price seem to be consolidating at the level of bullish gap, that has been holding price since this year and close to sweep $0.093. This level has to hold if we want bullish continuation, so bulls must defend it. In case it doesn't, the next levels I'd keep an eye on are $0.089, $0.087 and ultimately the swing low at $0.0835.

In case the gap manages to defend price, levels to watch on the upside are $0.0987, $0.1084, $0.1114 and $0.113, but we have two bearish gaps on the leg down, which are going to act as resistance, so inverting them is a priority.

On the h4 time frame, the consolidation is more visible. Price has been going sideways this week. The bearish gap marked with yellow was fully rebalances on Friday, but rejected price. Earlier today price had another attempt to close above the gap and invert it, but the action ended with another rejection and at the time of writing, price is on its way to sweep the two swing lows at $0.0936 and possibly $0.93 as well. If we don't get a bounce after sweeping one or both these levels, the retest of the bullish gap, marked with green could be next.

In case we get a reversal, before or after sweeping the above mentioned levels, I'm expecting price to have another attempt at inverting the bearish gap, marked with yellow on the chart, but first it has to sweep $0.0965.

$BTC has also been going sideways the last few days, after the drop we had due to the rejection at $97,963. At the time of writing, price is slightly below mid range, Levels to watch are $87,212 on the downside, if there's more weakness in the market and $91,180 on the upside, if we get a bounce here, or after sweeping liquidity from the swing low. $91,180 is inside a bearish gap, so we could witness some resistance there.

Last Sunday ETH/BTC sweep the (almost) equal high at 0.035257 and got rejected, after which had an attempt of sweeping the low at 0.032626, but missed it slightly. I wouldn't be surprised to see that equal low swept in the upcoming days, the a bounce to the bearish gap marked with yellow on the chart, but if we don't get a reversal after weeping 0.032626, then the other equal low at 0.032090 could be next. We need to wait a little, for the market to show its hand.

source

Next week's economic calendar has 3 red folder days with important data release, so I'd be ready for some extra volatility on these days around the announced hours.

Remember, technical analysis is not about forecasting price, but about reacting to what price does.

As always, this is a game of probabilities, not certainties. Also please note, this is not financial advice, it's my view and understanding of the market.

All charts posted here are screenshots from Tradinview.

Come trade with me on Bybit.

If you're a newbie, you may want to check out these guides:

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