RE: LeoThread 2025-06-27 17:52
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For humanoid robots to economically replace humans, each unit would need to cost under $1.5M, operate for 47 years without maintenance fees, and incur no additional operational expenses.
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The threshold cost of $1.5M is falling, meaning human labor is also becoming less expensive over time. In today's market, the necessary cost for a viable replacement would be under $800K per unit.
Current models involve around $60K in raw materials—costs that are expected to rise—and roughly 1-2 billion dollars in research and development. Their operational lifespan is about 5 years with an upkeep of $60K every 5 years.
When R&D expenses are distributed over 100 million robots (roughly $10 per unit), the combined cost becomes approximately $564K plus $60K, totaling $624K over a 47-year lifetime.
This estimate excludes manufacturing expenses and assumes maintenance costs equal to raw material costs every 5 years, effectively replacing the unit.
Overall, the calculations suggest that robot implementation could be about 22% more cost-effective than human labor under these conditions.