HIVE POWER UP DAY 1.march 2026 and #HIVE TA 🚀

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Hey everyone, and happy Power Up Day. 😃
For the second month in a row PUD lands on the Street Art contest, and even though I planned a short post, this one turned into more of a learning update. I’m continuing my monthly power‑ups, just small amounts while we’re still early in the bear phase in my view and I’m focusing on growing the trading stack so I can return stronger once the bulls return.

The price is depressing, I know.
See the update below and this time I’m including a February trade log so you can see how I’m navigating the bear trend in practice.

Fixed Monthly Context Quote

HP will fluctuate throughout this bear cycle, just like it did in the last one. I rebalance during divergences to grow my stack faster than passive curation — the same approach that outperformed 15% APR by 5x last cycle. This is just cycle‑based capital management.”

January 2022 baseline: 5,000 HP
January 2026 baseline: 25,000 HP
Long‑term target: 50–100k HP by the next cycle.

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2026 goal: 20k HP, 1k HBD, and a larger trading stack.😃

Quick recap of last month

Hive printed a fresh lower low versus the December 18th, 2025 low — and for the first time out of all eight bullish divergences since 2021, price didn’t reach the daily 200MA. BTC showed the same behaviour, so the rhythm is consistent across the board.

We’re now printing a bullish divergence on the weekly timeframe — typically far stronger than daily. The previous weekly divergence marked the August 2024 bottom and led to a 350% rally into the January 2025 peak.

For the full deep‑dive, cycle recap, check Hive recap — previous cycle 2022-2025 & fractal outlook

Market Status — March Update

The weekly bullish divergence mentioned last month has now been invalidated after printing a lower low in RSI. With that signal gone, the structure has develop into a descending triangle during the month of February — a classic bear‑market continuation pattern. These patterns rarely resolve upward, and if support breaks, the technical target sits around ~0.049. Not fear, just structure.

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Structure Check — Not Opinion

I know it’s not the most exciting thing to read on PUD, but this isn’t my opinion, it’s just the structure. I don’t make the rules here; BTC does. If you understand the tradelog below, you’ll see why this kind of environment creates opportunity rather than panic. Bears move in predictable sequences, and volatility becomes something you can work with instead of suffer from.

If it’s any consolation: ETH is showing the same pattern. Most alts are showing the same pattern. BTC is still the boss — and if it prints the flush‑2 scenario from the “3 red weeks” roadmap, alts will simply say “yes boss” and follow. NFA, DYOR.
https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@digi-me/codex-brief-three-red-weeks

A Small Dose of Hopium — Daily Chart

There is one small piece of hopium worth mentioning. On the daily chart, Steem printed a clean exit‑pump recently, and historically Hive and Steem often move together in these micro‑phases. If Hive mirrors that behaviour, a short‑term move toward ~0.11 is possible. In my view this wouldn’t be a reversal — just an exit pump before the next leg down. Bears often give these relief moves to reset funding, trap late shorts, and create liquidity for continuation. Not a prediction, just structure.

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If BTC gives us a green weekly candle, Hive could follow with a small relief bounce similar to Steem’s pump. Many alts have already revisited their October 10th crash wick, and if Hive does the same, that level sits around ~0.33. Not a prediction, just a structural magnet often revisited in bear cycles.

February Trade Log — How I Navigate the Bear

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1. Short — Descending Triangle Breakdown
   The descending triangle broke down. A clean close below triggered the short. Confluence: broader market was bearish, BTC was dumping toward 60k.

2. Long — BTC Sweep & Pivot
   BTC swept 60k and printed the 1h wick I always long. Expected bounce → move back up to retest the triangle.

3. Short — First Retest of Breakdown Level
   First retest of a breakdown level usually gives a pullback. Model trade.

4. Long — Retracement Into the Golden Pocket
   Price retraced into the GP — a long for me, especially when I’m ahead on risk. Structure held.

5. Long Add‑Back — SR Flip + Trend Shift
   Local HH → pullback → SR flip. Ascending triangle forming → continuation expected. Add‑back long with a target toward the 0.9 retest.

Cycle Lesson:
Selling in a downtrend isn’t dangerous. In a bear structure you always get to buy back lower. The only dangerous place to sell is in a bull market, where you’re not guaranteed a second chance. Bears reward rotation; bulls reward holding.

Have a great week and see you in the next one. 😃

📚 Reference Library (for my own tracking)
Core cycle recap:
Hive recap — previous cycle 2022-2025 & fractal outlook
(New links will be added here as the cycle unfolds.)

See my latest TA on the crypto market here:
🌀 Codex Brief — Three Red Weeks: Relief on the Horizon

Read about:
Hive Power Up Day - March 1st 2026 and more info about PUD at @hivebuzz

My previous powerup post:
HIVE POWER UP DAY 1.feb 2026 and #HIVE TA 🚀

Would love to see you in our weekly street art contest:
CCC's Street Art Contest #289 | 🎁 : 100% Liquid Payout and Ecency points as Prize Pool & Winners of #288

Sincerely

Christopher

Kristiansand, Norway

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