2026 werden viele Altcoins nicht überleben/Many altcoins will not survive 2026.
Krypto-Analyst Michaël van de Poppe warnt, dass die meisten Altcoins das Jahr 2026 nicht überleben könnten. Er nennt strukturelle Schwächen, wachsenden Wettbewerb und fehlerhafte Token-Ökonomie als Gründe.
Seine Einschätzung kommt zu einer Zeit, in der immer mehr Unsicherheit herrscht, wie sich der Kryptomarkt im Jahr 2026 entwickeln wird. Einige Analysten gehen von einer längeren Schwächephase aus.
Er erklärt, dass das vergangene Jahr eine harte Erkenntnis war und viele Altcoins sogar noch schlechter abgeschnitten haben als 2022.
„Es war ein hartes Bärenmarktjahr, da die meisten Altcoins etwa 90 Prozent verloren haben. Und ich glaube, dass die meisten davon nie wieder zurückkommen werden”, sagte er.
„Der erste Grund, warum die meisten Altcoins nicht überleben werden, ist, dass die Gründer ihre Finanzen ruiniert, die Token-Ökonomie zerstört oder einen so großen Kurseinbruch hatten, dass sie sich davon nicht mehr erholen können.”
Der lange Bärenmarkt ist dabei ebenfalls ein wichtiger Faktor. Der Analyst beschreibt ihn als „längsten Bärenmarkt” in der Geschichte von Krypto.
Auch der schnelle technologische Fortschritt verändert die Konkurrenz erheblich. Anhand älterer Projekte zeigt der Analyst, dass viele Altcoins aus früheren Phasen mittlerweile durch neuere und bessere Lösungen ersetzt wurden.
Manche Probleme, die frühere Projekte lösen wollten, gibt es inzwischen nicht mehr. Dadurch verlieren sie an Bedeutung und Überlebenschancen. Institutionelle Investoren könnten zwar grundsätzlich gut für die Krypto-Branche sein, dennoch können kleinere Projekte dadurch Nachteile bekommen.
Obwohl der Analyst warnt, dass die meisten Altcoins 2026 schlecht dastehen werden, betont er zugleich: Manche Altcoins sind gut aufgestellt, um zu überleben. Seiner Ansicht nach haben besonders die Altcoins Chancen, bei denen es eine Lücke zwischen Kursentwicklung und echtem Wachstum gibt.
Er meint, dass Projekte, die mehr Aktivität auf der Chain, steigenden Wert (TVL), mehr Transaktionen und wachsende Gebühren zeigen, auch dann langfristig überleben können.
Ich zitierte aus folgendem Artikel...
https://de.finance.yahoo.com/nachrichten/micha%C3%ABl-van-de-poppe-verr%C3%A4t-100000468.html
Mein persönliches Fazit:
Altcoins sind in diesem Jahr eine riskante Investition. Wer jetzt den Mut hat, in ein kleines Kryptoprojekt zu investieren, ist entweder absolut überzeugt – oder wahnsinnig.
Ich denke, bei Hive haben wir gesehen, dass sämtliche Play-to-Earn-Projekte gescheitert sind; nur Splitterlands wird noch mehr oder weniger gespielt. Steemit und Blurt sind meiner Ansicht nach jetzt schon bedeutungslos geworden. Wenn es Hive nicht gelingt, sich wieder auf das zensurresistente Blogging zu konzentrieren, befürchte ich dasselbe Schicksal.
Transaktionen, Votes und mehr oder weniger fesselnde Blogartikel auf der Hive-Blockchain sind das A und O damit Hive relevant bleibt.
English
Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe warns that most altcoins may not survive 2026. He cites structural weaknesses, increasing competition, and flawed token economics as reasons.
His assessment comes at a time of growing uncertainty about the future of the crypto market in 2026. Some analysts anticipate a prolonged period of weakness.
He explains that the past year was a harsh lesson, with many altcoins performing even worse than in 2022.
“It was a tough bear market year, with most altcoins losing around 90 percent of their value. And I believe most of them will never recover,” he said.
“The primary reason most altcoins won’t survive is that the founders ruined their finances, destroyed the token economy, or experienced such a massive price drop that they can’t recover.”
The prolonged bear market is also a significant factor. The analyst describes it as the “longest bear market” in crypto history.
Rapid technological advancements are also significantly altering the competitive landscape. Using older projects as examples, the analyst demonstrates that many altcoins from earlier phases have now been replaced by newer and better solutions.
Some problems that earlier projects aimed to solve no longer exist. As a result, they lose relevance and their chances of survival. While institutional investors can generally be beneficial for the crypto industry, they can also disadvantage smaller projects.
Although the analyst warns that most altcoins will be in a poor position in 2026, he also emphasizes that some altcoins are well-positioned to survive. In his view, altcoins with a gap between price performance and actual growth have a particularly good chance of survival.
He believes that projects exhibiting increased on-chain activity, rising total value (TVL), more transactions, and growing fees can survive in the long term.
I quoted from the following article...
https://de.finance.yahoo.com/nachrichten/micha%C3%ABl-van-de-poppe-verr%C3%A4t-100000468.html
My personal conclusion:
Altcoins are a risky investment this year. Anyone who dares to invest in a small crypto project now is either absolutely convinced – or crazy.
I think we've seen with Hive that all play-to-earn projects have failed; only Splitterlands is still more or less played. Steemit and Blurt, in my opinion, have already become irrelevant. If Hive doesn't manage to refocus on censorship-resistant blogging, I fear the same fate awaits it.
Transactions, votes, and more or less engaging blog posts on the Hive blockchain are crucial for Hive to remain relevant.
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@themarkymark, @buildawhale & Co,
How can you continue to downvote the truth, LOL? It’s almost comical how blatantly you attempt to suppress what cannot be hidden. The blockchain records everything—every action, every transaction, every move you make. Yet still, you persist in this futile game of trying to silence what is undeniable.
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Ich war immer schon der Meinung dass nur eine gute Handvoll der Projekte auf Dauer überleben werden, auf das Jahr 2026 würde ich mich da nicht festlegen.
Kryptofreundliche Rahmenbedingungen, welche zb. in den USA derzeit auf den Weg gebracht werden, können das Ganze vielleicht nochmal ein wenig hinauszögern.
Bei Hive hoffe ich natürlich auch auf eine Trendwende und dass der Kurs nochmal auf zumindest $1.- steigt, die Chance schätze ich dafür aber bei maximal 10% ein.
Ja bin ich voll bei dir. Wenn du Lust und Zeit hast kannst du das gerne am heutigen discord Hive meetup ab 20.30uhr mit besprechen und was man so an Hive verbessern könnte.
!WINE
https://x.com/i/status/2023316884406550769
#hive #posh
agreed, this year will be tough for altcoins
!BBH
I can see the downfall of the altcoins that does not have a concrete plan in the long-term future
It is a fact that the altcoin season does not seem to have arrived this time. Market conditions are very bad.