Weighing the loss

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What will these ETF firms stand to lose should the market crash? Of course here everyone will be on the loss. How about if the market was undergoing a gradual cut (A.k.a liquidation)? This looks like a different ball game from here. The question of why would Wall Street choose to jump into a volatile market like crypto should be properly asked? Of course it's volatile, is this a threat or an opportunity? I will say from my views, 'it is a threat for opportunities'. When considering who these guys are you must admit they are very money minded. Does this matter? Maybe I should first ask you? What would you do for money? Ok, more professionally now, what would you do to secure financial gains? Oh you are that ethical guy; not everyone is.

This has been my real point of conversation ever since I came to realize more of who these external bodies are. I am not trying to frame any name for them but we have to admit humans know how to spoil things and they are very good at it. Will I be wrong if I say a certain set of people are trying to spoil Bitcoin, then later Ethereum and who knows what's next?. Should they have a reason to do so? Who should trust who when finances are involved? Alright we have to trust the government (if it should be in actuality). Talking of which, why would the SEC scrap off crypto from being securities? Perhaps they've realized their mistakes or should I say have realized an opportunity.

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We must be very certain from here, the governments are no free agents. If you need them you must be able to hire them well. Oops!!! Hoping I don't get myself into trouble. Why are we always biting these guys; maybe they just keep repeating some activities that seem disturbing over and over again. Why just halt a process and reverse overnight, who pays for the damages? Of course their recognized investors were not part of the early business and even if they were, not yet by government instructions. So it's something that is weird, what are these guys actually up to? We have been having some sort of debate with @edicted for a while now. He is making a lot of points though, nevertheless, the market is not for one man to advise. Jump in yourself so that when you get wrecked, you don't have new enemies.

That said, let's do some analysis from here. What do big firms stand to lose from here? Should they protect price? price protection matters, they have taxes or bills to pay the governments. One easy ways to meet this is through skyrocketing prices. Adding to that, investors will need their tangible return on investment overtime. Let's table Franklin Bitcoin ETF for instance, a price crash means they will also be facing a market value decline. This big firm at such a professional level wouldn't want to side with such fate. It's one of those things that we may say, they are caught in a tight corner, remember we are weighing the loss.

reputation and client out flows

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This is another big turning point. These guys have a long standing name to defend. What will they and what won't they do to avoid being booed by investors and probably haters if I should add. This is where I am getting some sort of green light as there is a 'big name at stake' here. Should they fumble, they may have themselves to blame. Adding to that too, these clients also depend on numbers going up. Who does want to see his bitcoin ETF holding 2x or atleast make valuable percentage increments.

This also opens doors for possible investor's outflows. What do I mean here? If the prices go down and there is a loss in confidence for these firms, many investors may retrace their steps. A massive outflow is an internal loss for this firm, in short, this is a crackdown they shouldn't risk anytime soon. If investors don't see how green candles play out in Bitcoin, there will be no confidence to head into Ethereum ETF and the remaining altcoins. Adding to that, this same SEC may be on their tail for investigation when such scrutiny is observed.

What if they use their old ways?

I know you are already wondering, what old ways? Let's look at a periodical rebalancing. Many believe these guys will soon through in the cash to fulfill a prophecy (2013, 2017, 2021 and next is 2025). The time is right, the money holders are here; will bitcoin moon? Is this what their investors want? A moon or a stable growing price to secure their assets. An ordinary or cheap investor thinks of how to turn $100 dollars to four digitsbor more. The story is a reverse from the other end. Someone can throw in the millions for a 5-10% return annually. What does this mean? Of course an opportunity to wreck cheap investors and secure reputable ones. Big firms could steadily be buying the markets through timely and not too noticeable liquidation. I am not that big an expert but ways are ways.

To conclude let me add, never underestimate financial market experts when dominance is in their favor. We are ALL shouting for the right and ripe time. It's your capital and you can do as it pleases. Sometimes being too much an expert can lead to your doom when just trusting old patterns. I will always say, records were meant to be broken. As I said, this are just thoughts and not yet reality, your expectations and analysis may be very right. Be sure you are not an overthinker, it's not for investors before your BP pumps out during a blood bath. We all know the T/Cs.

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