The future of machines
Sometimes an invention seems too good until later you come to realize it was for those past moments. Every invention has its setbacks. I keep on saying it, technology will always have its flaws. First, you have to understand that you are trying to satisfy humans; here, needs are insatiable. Have you always observed how most of the things always turns around to start almost from the beginning; you created A services as a solution because B was posing inconveniences and overtime people start missing B and see some economic or natural disadvantages of A. We go again.
That was by the way, so what prompted this writing? My last article was centred on how new industries keep collapsing the former. So, it is NOW one article leading to another. I did make mention of one of an example a friend on chain wrote about in this similar topic. His view was how the train and public transport industries are likely to fade out. The demand for easy, convenience and affordable means of transportation is on the increase.
We have seen the moves for robotaxis something that when fully implemented will be one big rivalry to this public transport sectors. Elon Musk and his Tesla company are leading the charge with this and it is assumed within a decade, there should be a widespread of it. Will this new waves really take off old transport system and just make those good train station more of an architecture? It was a debate a friend argued on chain with his reasons.
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So, lets start like this, how will the world look like should everyone own a car? I mean active ownership; we are talking of 8 billion cars by feasible studies. Will the roads be able to contain this. How will daily Traffic be looking like. Many of those who stay in a city like Lagos can attest to this. Half of your day can be spent in traffic jams. I dislike being held down by the traffic, I always feel suffocated already. I am just imagining how I would have been coping with hour on a long traffic jam.
Can robotaxi invention create an overcrowded vehicular system? Cars are not portable unlike smart phones. This was his strong reasons that train stations will still remain very active. Another big point here, the cost of increasing roads to fit in such overcrowded vehicles is high. Who will be doing this, government of course, will the be spending that much for private companies to take advantage of it. When talking of advanced cities where structures and infrastructures have already been put in place, how can road expansion be ascertained?
We are thinking of a future of flying cars no doubt, that is a thing of the future. To be more precise, we are not certain of this will manifest in the Next three decades not to even talk about a massive adoption. The success of investing is about balancing many scales; can there be a future for those eyeing opportunities in the train and bus station industry. Is it lucrative, will it remain and for how long?
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Until the flaws of an overcrowded and non-portable metallic objects in the name of cars are resolved I feel there is still some breathing space. Not large enough anyway, robotaxi will prevail in terms of better service delivery. Transportation still remains a vital industry to humanity, we have seen the introduction of mobile phones not being able to completely phase off this industry. At some point, love ones have to meet, some businesses require transactional presence. Those that use the road most are workers; another thing to put into consideration, if AI and humanoids take over the workforce industry, will cars even scale?
To conclude, let me add, technology has proven to be a disrupter, collapsing old industries to form new ones. This comes with investment uncertainties, it can happen that some industries that will be assumed dead transform to still remain valuable. It is ALL about a later discovered flaws of its successor.
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