Playoffs Week 9 Results | 25W-14L-1P | +1.918 Units Profit

Week 9 of the playoffs turned out to be the most profitable week of the season with a very solid +1.918 units profit and many winners across the board. This now right at the end puts me at a profit again on the season and I can already say that I avoided my first ever losing year all without any form of chasing. In fact I would say the opposite as I tend to get more conservative if I'm down and if the facts indicate that the edge just isn't that big.
One of the matches I covered was a Women's game on the last day of the season which had high stakes and a clear 'Win Condition' as the 2 teams battling for the title played each other. I was kind of confused how unadjusted the lines were based on the situation and I managed to earn 0.469 units on that match with just 0.2 units at risk. It made me think I should put some more focus on the women league next season as in the end I'm here to make profit and that looks like where the money is at. I know that I'm able to watch at least 1 full match each weekend in that league.
Pre-Game Preview Bets Season 2024-2025
I had 1 confident bet on the weekend which was Club Brugge to win against Anderlecht and I picked up the logic in one of the podcasts that I listen to showing that it does pay to not only watch the games but also listen to what others have to say. It however, remains a season where these bigger bets underperformed causing quite the overall hit. For next season I likely will lower my gap between bigger and smaller stakes increasing one and decreasing the other as there is enough indication that the 'low edge winners' are better than my perceived 'high edge value bets'. At the same time, I did crush the average closing lines on these bigger bets so for all I know it's all just some random variance.
That is one of the difficulties with betting in that you only know after a big sample of bets that you actually were profitable which might take years. By the time that confirmation is there, things already might have turned around.
Previous 4 Seasons Result
Aside from sharing my previews and bets on my Blog, I also cover all matches live in our SBC Discord Channel sharing all the bets I take. The main purpose is to stay sharp and keep myself accountable.

Season 2024-2025 Personal Betting Chart

One of the things I wonder is how much the fact that I was down after the regular season game me the drive and motivation to focus on these playoffs which ended up so far with a really solid +5 units of profit. I do know that it for sure has an influence when I'm up a lot an when things go easily as that tends to drop my focus a bit. I guess it's a lesson I take into the next season to always have the same focus and motivation regardless how well or bad the season has gone so far.
I'm now up +1.517 units on the season which kind of shows that if I keep grinding in a disciplined way, things will always trend to the upside in the long term. The key remains to never snap and always make sure that I can keep going. There is one more week to go plus 2 more matches and if anything I will make sure that I end the season in the green not taking risk to lose -1.5 units on the week which is also something that only happened twice this season in 40 weeks.
Playoffs Results 2024-2025
Playoffs 09 Results 40 Bets | 25W-14L-01P | Staked 04.132u | +1.918u Profit
Playoffs 08 Results 44 Bets | 26W-17L-01P | Staked 04.311u | +1.065u Profit
Playoffs 07 Results 41 Bets | 14W-23L-04P | Staked 04.585u | -0.073u Loss
Playoffs 06 Results 52 Bets | 23W-23L-06P | Staked 05.012u | +0.244u Profit
Playoffs 05 Results 20 Bets | 10W-07L-03P | Staked 02.347u | +0.383u Profit
Playoffs 04 Results 29 Bets | 12W-11L-06P | Staked 02.978u | +0.156u Profit
Playoffs 03 Results 32 Bets | 14W-11L-04P | Staked 03.384u | +0.751u Profit
Playoffs 02 Results 29 Bets | 14W-11L-04P | Staked 02.179u | +0.458u Profit
Playoffs 01 Results 31 Bets | 13W-15L-04P | Staked 04.229u | +0.091u Profit
Regular Season Results 2024-2025
Week 30 Results 31 Bets | 15W-16L-00P | Staked 04.062u | -0.294u Loss
Week 29 Results 19 Bets | 10W-08L-01P | Staked 01.990u | -0.065u Loss
Week 28 Results 41 Bets | 22W-13L-06P | Staked 04.095u | +1.094u Profit
Week 27 Results 28 Bets | 08W-17L-03P | Staked 03.086u | -1.103u Loss
Week 26 Results 40 Bets | 18W-18L-04P | Staked 04.515u | -0.431u Loss
Week 25 Results 73 Bets | 20W-45L-08P | Staked 07.006u | -2.139u Loss
Week 24 Results 60 Bets | 22W-11L-04P | Staked 06.341u | +0.145u Profit
Week 23 Results 47 Bets | 22W-11L-04P | Staked 05.249u | +0.990u Profit
Week 22 Results 44 Bets | 27W-17L-02P | Staked 05.294u | +0.657u Profit
Week 21 Results 56 Bets | 26W-27L-03P | Staked 06.321u | +0.499u Profit
Week 20 Results 25 Bets | 10W-14L-01P | Staked 02.263u | +0.349u Profit
Week 19 Results 50 Bets | 21W-21L-08P | Staked 04.752u | -0.138u Loss
Week 18 Results 46 Bets | 21W-24L-01P | Staked 04.646u | -0.238u Loss
Week 17 Results 49 Bets | 27W-16L-06P | Staked 05.230u | +1.264u Profit
Week 16 Results 21 Bets | 06W-11L-04P | Staked 02.753u | -0.936u Loss
Week 15 Results 45 Bets | 13W-29L-04P | Staked 04.665u | -0.149u Loss
Week 14 Results 46 Bets | 13W-29L-04P | Staked 04.962u | -1.2591u Loss
Week 13 Results 27 Bets | 08W-15L-04P | Staked 03.074u | -1.101u Loss
Week 12 Results 63 Bets | 39W-16L-08P | Staked 04.874u | +1.737u Profit
Week 11 Results 37 Bets | 14W-17L-06P | Staked 03.871u | -0.347u Loss
Week 10 Results 62 Bets | 19W-39L-04P | Staked 07.324u | -1.849u Loss
Week 09 Results 62 Bets | 30W-25L-07P | Staked 06.600u | +0.216u Profit
Week 08 Results 26 Bets | 16W-07L-03P | Staked 03.921u | +0.963u Profit
Week 07 Results 50 Bets | 21W-17L-12P | Staked 05.544u | +0.403u Profit
Week 06 Results 28 Bets | 14W-11L-03P | Staked 03.824u | +0.825u Profit
Week 05 Results 38 Bets | 14W-19L-05P | Staked 05.130u | -0.522u Loss
Week 04 Results 51 Bets | 18W-27L-06P | Staked 05.308u | -0.512u Loss
Week 03 Results 44 Bets | 13W-28L-04P | Staked 06.999u | -1.305u Loss
Week 02 Results 48 Bets | 22W-25L-01P | Staked 06.270u | -0.429u Loss
Week 01 Results 34 Bets | 11W-14L-09P | Staked 04.245u | +0.145u Profit
Week 00 Results 10 Bets | 05W-04L-01P | Staked 00.860u | -0.046u Loss
Total Season 2024-2025 Results
1622 Bets | 711W-742L-169P | 178.863u Staked | +1.517u Loss | +0.85% ROI
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